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The impact of geoengineering on crops has to date been studied by examining mean yields. We present the first work focusing on the rate of crop failures under a geoengineered climate. We investigate the impact of a future climate and a potential geoengineering scheme on the number of crop failure...


Parkes BChallinor, Andrew J.Nicklin KJ[Crop failure rates in a geoengineered climate: impact of climate change and marine cloud brightening]Crop failure rates in a geoengineered climate: impact of climate change and marine cloud brightening
Asseng, SentholdEwert, FrankMartre, PierreRosenzweig, CynthiaJones, JimHatfield, Jerry L.Ruane, Alex C.Boote, Kenneth J.Thorburn, Peter J.Rötter, Reimund P.Cammarano, DavideBasso, BrunoAggarwal, Pramod K.Angulo, CarlosBertuzzi, PatrickBiernath, ChristianChallinor, Andrew J.Doltra, JordiGayler, SebastianGoldberg, Richard A.Grant, RobertHeng, LeeHooker, JoshHunt, TonyIngwersen, JoachimIzaurralde, Roberto CésarKersebaum, Kurt-ChristianMüller, ChristophNaresh Kumar, SooraNendel, ClaasO'Leary, Garry J.Olesen, J.E.Osborne, Tom M.Palosuo, TaruPriesack, EckartRipoche, DominiqueSemenov, Mikhail A.Shcherbak, IuriiSteduto, PasqualeStöckle, Claudio O.Stratonovitch, PierreStreck ISupit, IwanTao, FuluTravasso, MariaWaha, KatharinaWallach, DanielWhite, Jeffrey W.Williams, JimmyWolf, Joost[Benchmark data set for wheat growth models: Field experiments and AgMIP multi-model simulations]Benchmark data set for wheat growth models: Field experiments and AgMIP multi-model simulations

The quantification of uncertainty is an increasingly popular topic, with clear importance for climate change policy. However, uncertainty assessments are open to a range of interpretations, each of which may lead to a different policy recommendation. In the EQUIP project researchers from the UK c...


Wesselink AChallinor, Andrew J.Watson, J.Beven, K.Allen IHanlon HLópez, A.Lorenz SOtto FMorse, AndyRye CSaux-Picard SStainforth DSuckling E[Equipped to deal with uncertainty in climate and impacts predictions: lessons from internal peer review]Equipped to deal with uncertainty in climate and impacts predictions: lessons from internal peer review

The review by H. C. J. Godfray et al. (12 February, p. 812) and the rest of the special section on Food Security call for a multifaceted approach to future global food security. We would like to emphasize three agricultural issues that were lacking


Porter JRChallinor, Andrew J.Ewert, FrankFalloon, P.Fischer TGregory PIttersum, Martin K. vanOlesen, J.E.Moore KJRosenzweig, CynthiaSmith, Pete[Food security: focus on agriculture]Food security: focus on agriculture

Tools for projecting crop productivity under a range of conditions, and assessing adaptation options, are an important part of the endeavour to prioritize investment in adaptation. We present ensemble projections of crop productivity that account for biophysical processes, inherent uncertainty an...


Challinor, Andrew J.Simelton, ElisabethFraser EDGHemming DCollins M[Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China]Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China

Global temperatures have not been this high in at least 4,000 years. The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere today - 400 parts per million - has not been this high for three million years. Climate change has moved from an abstract concept to a basic fact of nature, and scientists ha...


Vermeulen, Sonja J.Challinor, Andrew J.[How farmers can adapt to a warming world]How farmers can adapt to a warming world

Population growth in the next few decades will increase the need for food production, while the yields of major food crops could be impacted by the changing climate and changing threats from pests and pathogens. Crop breeding, both through conventional techniques, and GM assisted breeding could h...


Faloon, PBebber, DBushell, MChallinor, Andrew J.Dessai, S.Gurr, SKöhler, Ann-Kristin[Using climate information to support crop breeding decisions and adaptation in agriculture]Using climate information to support crop breeding decisions and adaptation in agriculture

Understanding the relationship between climate and crop productivity is a key component of projections of future food production, and hence assessments of food security. Climate models and crop yield datasets have errors, but the effects of these errors on regional scale crop models is not well c...


Watson, J.Challinor, Andrew J.Fricker TEFerro CAT[Comparing the effects of calibration and climate errors on a statistical crop model and a process-based crop model]Comparing the effects of calibration and climate errors on a statistical crop model and a process-based crop model

Climate change impacts upon the world's poorest most heavily. It is therefore essential that international development initiatives focus on improving the ability of developing countries to adapt to the effects of climate change. This book, a product of research by the JICA-RI (Research Institute ...


Challinor, Andrew J.[Climate change projections in some Asian countries]Climate change projections in some Asian countries

Mounting evidence that climate change will impact food security demonstrates the need to adapt food systems to future conditions. New work sheds light on the measures that will be needed to do so, and what the gains of implementing them might be.


Challinor, Andrew J.[Agriculture: forecasting food]Agriculture: forecasting food

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