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The farms of the future (FOTF) approach is an interactive climate adaptation, knowledge sharing and learning experience that transforms climate forecasts into field-based realities by physically taking participants on a journey to areas that already experience climatic conditions that represent p...


Jones, E.Arango, D.Ramírez Villegas, JuliánBonilla Findji, OsanaBailey MChaudhury ASova, ChaseThorn, J.Helfgott, Ariella E.S.Jarvis, Andy[Farms of the future guidelines]Farms of the future guidelines

This working paper examines the development of regional socioeconomic scenarios for West Africa’s development, agriculture, food security and climate impacts. We present four globally consistent regional scenarios framed and outlined by regional experts who crafted narratives and determined key d...


Palazzo, AmandaRutting, LucasZougmoré, Robert B.Vervoort, Joost M.Havlík, PetrJalloh, AbdulaiAubee, ErnstHelfgott, Ariella E.S.Mason-D'Croz, DanielIslam, ShahnilaEricksen, Polly J.Segda, ZénabouMoussa, Abdoulaye S.Bayala, JulesKadi Kadi, Hame A.Sibiry Traoré, Pierre C.Thornton, Philip K.Valin, Hugo[The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios]The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios

Current models of adaptation to climate change focus on common causes of vulnerability among individuals and communities in an attempt to improve their capacity to adapt. These models tend to neglect the impact on vulnerability of local relationships that include political and economic power stru...


Chaudhury, Abrar S.Thornton, Thomas F.Helfgott, Ariella E.S.Ventresca, Marc J.Sova, Chase[Ties that bind: Local networks, communities and adaptive capacity in rural Ghana]Ties that bind: Local networks, communities and adaptive capacity in rural Ghana

Morphological analysis allows any number of dimensions to be retained when framing future conditions, and techniques within morphological analysis determine which combinations of those dimensions represent plausible futures. However, even a relatively low number of dimensions in future conditions...


Lord SHelfgott, Ariella E.S.Vervoort, Joost M.[Choosing diverse sets of plausible scenarios in multidimensional exploratory futures techniques]Choosing diverse sets of plausible scenarios in multidimensional exploratory futures techniques

Decision-makers aiming to improve food security, livelihoods and resilience are faced with an uncertain future. To develop robust policies they need tools to explore the potential effects of uncertain climatic, socioeconomic, and environmental changes. Methods have been developed to use scenarios...


Mason-D'Croz, DanielVervoort, Joost M.Palazzo, AmandaIslam, ShahnilaLord SHelfgott, Ariella E.S.Havlík, PetrPeou RSassen MVeeger, MariekeSoesbergen, A. vanArnell, A.P.Stuch BArslan, A.Lipper, Leslie[Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia]Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia

As developing countries move from policy to implementing adaptation to climate change, formal operational structures are emerging that exceed the expertise of any one actor. We refer to these arrangements as ‘meta-organisations’ that comprise many autonomous component organisations tackling adapt...


Chaudhury, Abrar S.Ventresca, Marc J.Thornton, Thomas F.Helfgott, Ariella E.S.Sova, ChaseBaral, PrajwalRasheed, TahirLigthart, Jasper[Emerging meta-organisations and adaptation to global climate change: Evidence from implementing adaptation in Nepal, Pakistan and Ghana]Emerging meta-organisations and adaptation to global climate change: Evidence from implementing adaptation in Nepal, Pakistan and Ghana

The growth of peri-urban areas is increasingly recognised as a dominant planning and urban design challenge for the 21st century. In burgeoning poor urban settlements growing on city margins, autonomous adaptation strategies are often the only measures to respond to increasing climatic and compou...


Thorn, JessicaThornton, Thomas F.Helfgott, Ariella E.S.[Autonomous adaptation to global environmental change in peri-urban settlements: Evidence of a growing culture of innovation and revitalisation in Mathare Valley Slums, Nairobi]Autonomous adaptation to global environmental change in peri-urban settlements: Evidence of a growing culture of innovation and revitalisation in Mathare Valley Slums, Nairobi

In this exploratory paper we propose ‘worldmaking’ as a framework for pluralistic, imaginative scenario development. Our points of departure are the need in scenario practice to embrace uncertainty, discomfort and knowledge gaps, and the connected need to capture and make productive fundamental p...


Vervoort, Joost M.Bendor RKelliher AStrik OHelfgott, Ariella E.S.[Scenarios and the art of worldmaking]Scenarios and the art of worldmaking

Debates around the design and content of climate change adaptation policies are shaped, in part, by the power and influence of actors within an adaptation regime. This paper applies a power-mapping technique, Multilevel Stakeholder Influence Mapping (MSIM), to stakeholders in Ghana's agricultural...


Sova, ChaseThornton, Thomas F.Zougmoré, Robert B.Helfgott, Ariella E.S.Chaudhury, Abrar S.[Power and influence mapping in Ghana's agricultural adaptation policy regime]Power and influence mapping in Ghana's agricultural adaptation policy regime

This paper introduces a five-step framework, namely the Robust Adaptation Planning (RAP) framework, to plan and respond to the ‘grand challenge’ of climate change. RAP combines, under a unified framework, elements from robust action, participatory planning and network theory to capture the differ...


Chaudhury, Abrar S.Thornton, Thomas F.Helfgott, Ariella E.S.Sova, Chase[Applying the robust adaptation planning (RAP) framework to Ghana’s agricultural climate change adaptation regime]Applying the robust adaptation planning (RAP) framework to Ghana’s agricultural climate change adaptation regime

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