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Estimates of the response of crops to climate change rarely quantify the uncertainty inherent in the simulation of both climate and crops. We present a crop simulation ensemble for a location in India, perturbing the response of both crop and climate under both baseline (12 720 simulations) and d...


Challinor, Andrew J.Wheeler, TimHemming DUpadhyaya, Hari D.[Ensemble yield simulations: crop and climate uncertainties, sensitivity to temperature and genotypic adaptation to climate change]Ensemble yield simulations: crop and climate uncertainties, sensitivity to temperature and genotypic adaptation to climate change

Tools for projecting crop productivity under a range of conditions, and assessing adaptation options, are an important part of the endeavour to prioritize investment in adaptation. We present ensemble projections of crop productivity that account for biophysical processes, inherent uncertainty an...


Challinor, Andrew J.Simelton, ElisabethFraser EDGHemming DCollins M[Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China]Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China

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