Recent studies assessing plausible futures for agricultural markets and global food security have had contradictory outcomes. To advance our understanding of the sources of the differences, 10 global economic models that produce long-term scenarios were asked to compare a reference scenario with ...
Lampe M. von
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Willenbockel, Dirk
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Ahammad, H.
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Blanc, Elodie
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Cai, Yongxia
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Calvin, Katherine
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Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
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Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
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Nelson, Gerald C.
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Sands, Ronald D.
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Schmitz, Christoph
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Meijl, Hans van
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[Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison]
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Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison
The projected changes in planted area, yield per area, net exports/imports and prices for five major agricultural crops in South Africa were simulated using the projections of four Global Circulation Models (GCMs) under three socio-economic scenarios. The GCM projections show consistent strong wa...
Global climate change presents long-term risks to agriculture. In general, global climate change is expected to positively affect Russian agriculture. In high and middle latitudes, global warming would expand the growing season. Acreages of agricultural crops may expand toward the north, although...
Kiselev S
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Romashkin R
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Nelson, Gerald C.
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Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
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Palazzo, Amanda
,
[Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future]
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Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future
Understanding the capacity of agricultural systems to feed the world population under climate change requires projecting future food demand. This article reviews demand modeling approaches from 10 global economic models participating in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Proje...
Valin, Hugo
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Sands, Ronald D.
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Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
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Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Blanc, Elodie
,
Bodirsky, Benjamin L.
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Paltsev S
,
Rolinski S
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Lampe M. von
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
[The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models]
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The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models
Given limited resources, adaptation strategies must target those populations most vulnerable to global change and equip those unable to adapt—generally the poorest—with the tools and incentives that will enable them to do so. ASARECA has recently carried out a study to enhance the understanding o...
Nzuma JM
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Waithaka, Michael
,
Mbithi Mulwa R
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Kyotalimye, Miriam
,
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
[Strategies for adapting to climate change in rural Sub-Saharan Africa]
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Strategies for adapting to climate change in rural Sub-Saharan Africa
The first decade of the 21st century has brought harbingers of a troubled future for global food security. The food-price spike of 2008 led to food riots and political change in several countries. In 2010, the excessive heat and drought in Russia that led to wildfires and a grain embargo, as well...
Nelson, Gerald C.
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Rosegrant, Mark W.
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Palazzo, Amanda
,
Gray I
,
Ingersoll C
,
Robertson, Richard D.
,
Tokgoz S
,
Zhu, T.
,
Sulser TB
,
Ringler, Claudia
,
Msangi S
,
You, Liangzhi
,
[Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050: challenges to 2050 and beyond]
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Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050: challenges to 2050 and beyond