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We present a framework for prioritizing adaptation approaches at a range of timeframes. The framework is illustrated by four case studies from developing countries, each with associated characterization of uncertainty. Two cases on near-term adaptation planning in Sri Lanka and on stakeholder sce...


Vermeulen, Sonja J.Challinor, Andrew J.Thornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.Eriyagama, NishadiVervoort, Joost M.Kinyangi, JamesJarvis, AndyLäderach, PeterRamírez Villegas, JuliánNicklin, K.J.Hawkins, E.Smith, D.R.[Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture]Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture

Projections of the response of crop yield to climate change at different spatial scales are known to vary. However, understanding of the causes of systematic differences across scale is limited. Here, we hypothesize that heterogeneous cropping intensity is one source of scale dependency. Analysis...


Challinor, Andrew J.Parkes BRamírez Villegas, Julián[Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity]Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity

The narrowing of diversity in crop species contributing to the world’s food supplies has been considered a potential threat to food security. However, changes in this diversity have not been quantified globally. We assess trends over the past 50 y in the richness, abundance, and composition of cr...


Khoury, Colin K.Bjorkman, Anne D.Dempewolf, HannesRamírez Villegas, JuliánGuarino, LuigiJarvis, AndyRieseberg, Loren H.Struik, Paul C.[Increasing homogeneity in global food supplies and the implications for food security]Increasing homogeneity in global food supplies and the implications for food security
Heinemann, Alexandre B.Ramírez Villegas, JuliánPessoa Oliveira de Souza, Thiago LívioDidonet, Agostinho DirceuStefano, Jose Geraldo diBoote, Kenneth J.Jarvis, Andy[Drought impact on rainfed common bean production areas in Brazil]Drought impact on rainfed common bean production areas in Brazil

Climate change is expected to substantially reduce agricultural yields, as reported in the by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In Sub-Saharan Africa and (to a lesser extent) in South Asia, limited data availability and institutional networking constrain agricultural research ...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánChallinor, Andy[Assessing relevant climate data for agricultural applications]Assessing relevant climate data for agricultural applications

Understanding how climate change can affect crop-pollinator systems helps predict potential geographical mismatches between a crop and its pollinators, and therefore identify areas vulnerable to loss of pollination services. We examined the distribution of orchard species (apples, pears, plums an...


Polce, ChiaraGarratt, Michael P.D.Termansen, MetteRamírez Villegas, JuliánChallinor, Andrew J.Lappage, Martin GBoatman, Nigel DCrowe, AndrewEndalew, Ayenew MelesePotts, Simon GSomerwill, Kate EBiesmeijer, Jacobus C.[Climate-driven spatial mismatches between British orchards and their pollinators: increased risks of pollination deficits]Climate-driven spatial mismatches between British orchards and their pollinators: increased risks of pollination deficits

This paper examines the impacts of climate change on cassava production in Africa, and questions whether cassava can play an important role in climate change adaptation. First, we examine the impacts that climate change will likely have on cassava itself, and on other important staple food crops ...


Jarvis, AndyRamírez Villegas, JuliánHerrera Campo, Beatriz VanessaNavarro-Racines, Carlos E.[Is cassava the answer to African climate change adaptation?]Is cassava the answer to African climate change adaptation?

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