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Climate change is projected to have serious impacts on the agriculture of southern Africa, affecting food availability, creating local production shortfalls and resulting in rising commodity prices. This report highlights the risks to agriculture and food systems that may occur in two counties of...


Vergage, FabianCramer, LauraThornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.[Climate risk assessment and agricultural value chain prioritisation for Malawi and Zambia]Climate risk assessment and agricultural value chain prioritisation for Malawi and Zambia

Using a 9-country dataset from sub-Saharan Africa, and integrating quantitative household-level analyses with qualitative work, the paper shows that gender relations affect agricultural practices and adaptation. The women farmers in our sample control less land than men, the land they control is ...


Pérez, CarlosJones, E.Kristjanson, Patricia M.Cramer, LauraThornton, Philip K.Förch, WiebkeBarahona, C.[How resilient are farming households, communities, men and women to a changing climate in Africa?]How resilient are farming households, communities, men and women to a changing climate in Africa?

This report presents 4 scenarios for the future of food security, agriculture, livelihoods and environments in East Africa. These scenarios were developed by the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in collaboration with a wide range of regional stakeholders. Th...


Vervoort, Joost M.Palazzo, AmandaMason-D'Croz, DanielEricksen, Polly J.Thornton, Philip K.Kristjanson, Patricia M.Förch, WiebkeHerrero, Mario T.Havlík, PetrJost, ChristineRowlands, H.[The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Eastern Africa: four socio-economic scenarios]The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Eastern Africa: four socio-economic scenarios

This working paper examines the development of regional socioeconomic scenarios for West Africa’s development, agriculture, food security and climate impacts. We present four globally consistent regional scenarios framed and outlined by regional experts who crafted narratives and determined key d...


Palazzo, AmandaRutting, LucasZougmoré, Robert B.Vervoort, Joost M.Havlík, PetrJalloh, AbdulaiAubee, ErnstHelfgott, Ariella E.S.Mason-D'Croz, DanielIslam, ShahnilaEricksen, Polly J.Segda, ZénabouMoussa, Abdoulaye S.Bayala, JulesKadi Kadi, Hame A.Sibiry Traoré, Pierre C.Thornton, Philip K.Valin, Hugo[The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios]The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios

The contemporary concern about anthropogenic release of greenhouse gas (GHG) into the environment and the contribution of livestock to this phenomenon have sparked animal scientists’ interest in predicting methane (CH4) emissions by ruminants. Focusing on milk production, we address six basic nut...


Tedeschi, L.O.Herrero, Mario T.Thornton, Philip K.[An Overview of Dairy Cattle Models for Predicting Milk Production: Their Evolution, Evaluation, and Application for the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) for Livestock.]An Overview of Dairy Cattle Models for Predicting Milk Production: Their Evolution, Evaluation, and Application for the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) for Livestock.

The food system today is destroying the environment upon which future food production depends. While the food system generates enough food energy for our population of over 7 billion it does not deliver adequate and affordable nutrition for all. About half the global population is inadequately or...


Garnett, TaraAppleby, M.C.Balmford, A.Bateman, I.J.Benton, T.G.Bloomer, P.Burlingame, B.Dawkins, M.Dolan, L.Fraser, D.Herrero, Mario T.Hoffmann, I.Smith, PeteThornton, Philip K.Toulmin, C.Vermeulen, Sonja J.Godfray, H. Charles J.[What is a sustainable healthy diet? A discussion paper]What is a sustainable healthy diet? A discussion paper

En las últimas décadas la seguridad alimentaria y nutricional en América Latina y el Caribe se ha fortalecido, pasando de un 14.7% de población afectada por el hambre en 1990 a un 5.5% en 2014 (FAOSTAT, 2016), cumpliendo con la meta del hambre de los Objetivos de Desarrollo del Milenio. Sin embar...

In recent decades, food and nutrition security in Latin America and the Caribbean has strengthened, decreasing the number of the population affected by hunger from 14.7% in 1990 to 5.5% in 2014 (FAOSTAT, 2016), meeting the hunger goal of the Millennium Development Goals. However, climate change, ...


Cramer, LauraHuyer, SophiaLavado, AngelaLoboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaMartínez Barón, DeissyNyasimi, MaryThomas, Timothy S.Thornton, Philip K.Etten, Jacob vanWijk, Mark T. van[Métodos propuestos para evaluar el impacto potencial del cambio climático sobre la seguridad alimentaria y nutricional en Centroamérica y la República Dominicana]Métodos propuestos para evaluar el impacto potencial del cambio climático sobre la seguridad alimentaria y nutricional en Centroamérica y la República Dominicana

The purpose of this working paper is to provide insight into how we can use novel approaches to scale up research findings on climate-smart agriculture (CSA) to meaningfully address the challenges of poverty and climate change. The approaches described include those based on value chains and priv...


Westermann, OlafThornton, Philip K.Förch, Wiebke[Reaching more farmers: Innovative approaches to scaling up climate-smart agriculture]Reaching more farmers: Innovative approaches to scaling up climate-smart agriculture

The impacts of a warming world are affecting food production in every corner of the globe. From shifting rainfall patterns and growing seasons, to more frequent and extreme droughts and floods, to increasingly severe pest and disease outbreaks among crops and livestock, farming as we know it is u...


Loboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaBirch, JamesThornton, Philip K.Meza, LauraSunga, IshmaelBong, Bui BaRabbinge, RudyReddy, MatthewDinesh, DhanushKorner, JanaMartínez Barón, DeissyMillan, AlbertoHansen, JamesHuyer, SophiaCampbell, Bruce M.[Feeding the World in a Changing Climate: An Adaptation Roadmap for Agriculture]Feeding the World in a Changing Climate: An Adaptation Roadmap for Agriculture

Decision makers in developing countries need evidence of the impacts climate change is having and will continue to have on agriculture and food systems as well as knowledge on how to design better policies to deal with such impacts. Research for development scientists are generating this evidence...


Cramer, LauraThornton, Philip K.Dinesh, DhanushJat, Mangi LalKhatri-Chhetri, ArunLaderach, PeterMartínez Barón, DeissyOuédraogo, MathieuPartey, SamuelTotin, EdmondVasileiou, IoannisVeeger, Marieke[Lessons on bridging the science-policy divide for climate change action in developing countries]Lessons on bridging the science-policy divide for climate change action in developing countries

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