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Climate-smart interventions in agriculture have varying costs and environmental and economic impacts. Their implementation requires appropriate investment decisions by policy makers that are relevant for current as well as future scenarios of agro-ecology, climate and economic development. Decisi...


Aggarwal, Pramod K.Thornton, Philip K.Dunnett, AlexShirsath, Paresh B.Joshi, Pramod K.Pal, Barun DKhatri-Chhetri, ArunGhosh, Joydeep[Multi-objective land use allocation modelling for prioritizing climate-smart agricultural interventions]Multi-objective land use allocation modelling for prioritizing climate-smart agricultural interventions

Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is widely promoted as an approach for reorienting agricultural development under the realities of climate change. Prioritising research-for-development activities is crucial, given the need to utilise scarce resources as effectively as possible. However, no framewo...


Thornton, Philip K.Whitbread, Anthony M.Baedeker, TobiasCairns, Jill E.Claessens, LievenBaethgen, Walter E.Bunn, ChristianFriedmann, MichaelGiller, Ken E.Herrero, Mario T.Howden, MarkKilcline, KevinNangia, VinayRamírez Villegas, JuliánKumar, ShalanderWest, Paul C.Keating, Brian[A framework for priority-setting in climate smart agriculture research]A framework for priority-setting in climate smart agriculture research

Many assessments of climate change impacts on global crop yields project declines as early as the 2020s. Losses are projected to increase with time, up to 50% by the 2080s. We carry out a systematic global review and compare published projections of climate change impacts from 34 studies and ∼450...


Aggarwal, Pramod K.Vyas, ShalikaThornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.Kropff, Martin[Importance of considering technology growth in impact assessments of climate change on agriculture]Importance of considering technology growth in impact assessments of climate change on agriculture

The impacts of climate change on crop yields, as projected by a slew of impact assessments carried out since the 1980s, have brought the issue of future food insecurity to the fore. A meta-analysis of ~27,000 data points from studies published over the last four decades reveals that at country le...


Aggarwal, Pramod K.Vyas, ShalikaThornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.[How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?]How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?

Agricultural research for development has made important contributions to poverty reduction and food security over the last 40 years. Nevertheless, it is likely that both the speed of global change and its impacts on natural and socio-economic systems are being under-estimated. Coupled with the m...


Thornton, Philip K.Schuetz, TonyaFörch, WiebkeCramer, LauraAbreu, DavidVermeulen, Sonja J.Campbell, Bruce M.[Responding to global change: A theory of change approach to making agricultural research for development outcome-based]Responding to global change: A theory of change approach to making agricultural research for development outcome-based

Agricultural development in sub-Saharan Africa faces daunting challenges, which climate change and increasing climate variability will compound in vulnerable areas. The impacts of a changing climate on agricultural production in a world that warms by 4°C or more are likely to be severe in places....


Thornton, Philip K.Jones, Peter G.Ericksen, Polly J.Challinor, Andrew J.[Agriculture and food systems in sub-Saharan Africa in a 4°C+ world]Agriculture and food systems in sub-Saharan Africa in a 4°C+ world

Climate change will have far-reaching impacts on crop, livestock and fisheries production, and will change the prevalence of crop pests. Many of these impacts are already measurable. Climate impact studies are dominated by those on crop yields despite the limitations of climate-crop modelling, wi...


Campbell, Bruce M.Vermeulen, Sonja J.Aggarwal, Pramod K.Corner-Dolloff, CaitlinGirvetz, Evan H.Loboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaRamírez Villegas, JuliánRosenstock, Todd S.Sebastian, Leocadio S.Thornton, Philip K.Wollenberg, Eva K.[Reducing risks to food security from climate change]Reducing risks to food security from climate change

We model future changes in land biogeochemistry and biogeography across East Africa. East Africa is one of few tropical regions where general circulation model (GCM) future climate projections exhibit a robust response of strong future warming and general annual-mean rainfall increases. Eighteen ...


Doherty, R.M.Stich, S.Smith, B.Lewis, S.L.Thornton, Philip K.[A green future for East Africa: implications of future climate and atmospheric CO2 content on regional carbon cycling and biogeography]A green future for East Africa: implications of future climate and atmospheric CO2 content on regional carbon cycling and biogeography

Agricultural practices have constantly changed in West Africa, and understanding the factors that have driven the changes may help guide strategies to promote sustainable agriculture in the region. To contribute to such efforts, this paper analyzes drivers of change in farming practices in the re...


Ouédraogo, MathieuZougmoré, Robert B.Moussa, Abdoulaye S.Partey, Samuel T.Thornton, Philip K.Kristjanson, Patricia M.Badiane Ndour, Ndèye YacineSomé, LéopoldNaab, Jesse B.Boureima, MoussaDiakite, L.Quirós, Carlos[Markets and climate are driving rapid change in farming practices in Savannah West Africa]Markets and climate are driving rapid change in farming practices in Savannah West Africa

Climate change science has been discussed and synthesized by the world's best minds at unprecedented scales. Now that the Kyoto Protocol may become a reality, it is time to be realistic about the likelihood of success of mitigation activities. Pastoral lands in the tropics hold tremendous sequest...


Reid, Robin S.Thornton, Philip K.McCrabb, G.J.Kruska, R.L.Atieno, F.Jones, Peter G.[Is it possible to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in pastoral ecosystems of the tropics?]Is it possible to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in pastoral ecosystems of the tropics?

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