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Working Paper 2016-05-09

Autor: Palazzo, Amanda Rutting, Lucas Zougmoré, Robert B. Vervoort, Joost M. Havlík, Petr Jalloh, Abdulai Aubee, Ernst Helfgott, Ariella E.S. Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Islam, Shahnila Ericksen, Polly J. Segda, Zénabou Moussa, Abdoulaye S. Bayala, Jules Kadi Kadi, Hame A. Sibiry Traoré, Pierre C. Thornton, Philip K. Valin, Hugo

This working paper examines the development of regional socioeconomic scenarios for West Africa’s development, agriculture, food security and climate impacts. We present four globally consistent regional scenarios framed and outlined by regional experts who crafted narratives and determined key d...

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/73375

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Palazzo, Amanda ,  Rutting, Lucas ,  Zougmoré, Robert B. ,  Vervoort, Joost M. ,  Havlík, Petr ,  Jalloh, Abdulai ,  Aubee, Ernst ,  Helfgott, Ariella E.S. ,  Mason-D'Croz, Daniel ,  Islam, Shahnila ,  Ericksen, Polly J. ,  Segda, Zénabou ,  Moussa, Abdoulaye S. ,  Bayala, Jules ,  Kadi Kadi, Hame A. ,  Sibiry Traoré, Pierre C. ,  Thornton, Philip K. ,  Valin, Hugo ,  [The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios] ,  The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios
Journal Article 2017-01-30

Autor: Oliver, Fricko Havlík, Petr Rogelj, Joeri Klimont, Zbigniew Gusti, Mykola Johnson, Nils Kolp, Peter Strubegger, Manfred Valin, Hugo Amann, Markus Ermolieva, Tatiana Forsell, Nicklas Herrero, Mario T. Heyes, Chris Kindermann, Georg Krey, Volker McCollum, David L. Obersteiner, Michael Pachauri, Shonali Rao, Shilpa Schmid, Erwin Schoepp, Wolfgang Riahi, Keywan

Studies of global environmental change make extensive use of scenarios to explore how the future can evolve under a consistent set of assumptions. The recently developed Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) create a framework for the study of climate-related scenario outcomes. Their five narrativ...

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/80056

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Oliver, Fricko ,  Havlík, Petr ,  Rogelj, Joeri ,  Klimont, Zbigniew ,  Gusti, Mykola ,  Johnson, Nils ,  Kolp, Peter ,  Strubegger, Manfred ,  Valin, Hugo ,  Amann, Markus ,  Ermolieva, Tatiana ,  Forsell, Nicklas ,  Herrero, Mario T. ,  Heyes, Chris ,  Kindermann, Georg ,  Krey, Volker ,  McCollum, David L. ,  Obersteiner, Michael ,  Pachauri, Shonali ,  Rao, Shilpa ,  Schmid, Erwin ,  Schoepp, Wolfgang ,  Riahi, Keywan ,  [The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century] ,  The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century
Journal Article 2013-07-16

Autor: Valin, Hugo Havlík, Petr Mosnier, Aline Herrero, Mario T. Schmid, Erwin Obersteiner, Michael

In this letter, we investigate the effects of crop yield and livestock feed efficiency scenarios on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture and land use change in developing countries. We analyze mitigation associated with different productivity pathways using the global partial equilibri...

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/33423

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Valin, Hugo ,  Havlík, Petr ,  Mosnier, Aline ,  Herrero, Mario T. ,  Schmid, Erwin ,  Obersteiner, Michael ,  [Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions: Trade-offs or synergies between mitigation and food security?] ,  Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions: Trade-offs or synergies between mitigation and food security?
Journal Article 2013

Autor: Nelson, Gerald C. Valin, Hugo Sands, Ronald D. Havlík, Petr Ahammad, H. Deryng, Delphine Elliott J Fujimori, Shinichiro Hasegawa, Tomoko Heyhoe, Edwina Kyle, Page Lampe M. von Lotze-Campen, Hermann Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Meijl, Hans van Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der Müller, Christoph Popp, Alexander Robertson, Richard D. Robinson, Sherman Schmid, Erwin Schmitz, Christoph Tabeau, Andrzej Willenbockel, Dirk

Agricultural production is sensitive to weather and thus directly affected by climate change. Plausible estimates of these climate change impacts require combined use of climate, crop, and economic models. Results from previous studies vary substantially due to differences in models, scenarios, a...

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/52118

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Nelson, Gerald C. ,  Valin, Hugo ,  Sands, Ronald D. ,  Havlík, Petr ,  Ahammad, H. ,  Deryng, Delphine ,  Elliott J ,  Fujimori, Shinichiro ,  Hasegawa, Tomoko ,  Heyhoe, Edwina ,  Kyle, Page ,  Lampe M. von ,  Lotze-Campen, Hermann ,  Mason-D'Croz, Daniel ,  Meijl, Hans van ,  Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der ,  Müller, Christoph ,  Popp, Alexander ,  Robertson, Richard D. ,  Robinson, Sherman ,  Schmid, Erwin ,  Schmitz, Christoph ,  Tabeau, Andrzej ,  Willenbockel, Dirk ,  [Climate change effects on agriculture: economic responses to biophysical shocks] ,  Climate change effects on agriculture: economic responses to biophysical shocks
Brief 2017-10-03

Autor: Frank, Stefan Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Wollenberg, Eva K. Hasegawa, Tomoko Obersteiner, Michael

Carbon price policies deliver cost-efficient mitigation across sectors, but can result in tradeoffs with food security and other sustainable development goals. Scenarios for a 1.5 °C world based on carbon prices could increase the undernourished population by 80 - 300 million in 2050. Applying a ...

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/88079

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Frank, Stefan ,  Havlík, Petr ,  Valin, Hugo ,  Wollenberg, Eva K. ,  Hasegawa, Tomoko ,  Obersteiner, Michael ,  [Carbon prices, climate change mitigation & food security: How to avoid trade-offs?] ,  Carbon prices, climate change mitigation & food security: How to avoid trade-offs?
Presentation 2017-04-24

Autor: Frank, Stefan Havlík, Petr Soussana, Jean-Francois Levesque, A Valin, Hugo Wollenberg, Eva K. Kleinwechter, U. Fricko, Oliver Gusti, Mykola Herrero, Mario T. Smith, P. Hasegawa, T. Kraxner, Florian Obersteiner, Michael

The presentation addresses how reducing agricultural GHG emissions impacts food security, and what the trade-offs are. Presentation given by Stefan Frank at the European Geosciences Union conference on 24 April 2017.

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/83371

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Frank, Stefan ,  Havlík, Petr ,  Soussana, Jean-Francois ,  Levesque, A ,  Valin, Hugo ,  Wollenberg, Eva K. ,  Kleinwechter, U. ,  Fricko, Oliver ,  Gusti, Mykola ,  Herrero, Mario T. ,  Smith, P. ,  Hasegawa, T. ,  Kraxner, Florian ,  Obersteiner, Michael ,  [Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture without compromising food security?] ,  Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture without compromising food security?
Journal Article 2019-05-15

Autor: Stehfest, Elke Zeist, Willem-Jan van Valin, Hugo Havlik, Petr Popp, Alexander Kyle, Page Tabeau, Andrzej Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Hasegawa, Tomoko Bodirsky, Benjamin L. Calvin, Katherine Doelman, Jonathan C Fujimori, Shinichiro Humpenöder, Florian Lotze-Campen, Hermann Meijl, Hans van Wiebe, Keith

Land use is at the core of various sustainable development goals. Long-term climate foresight studies have structured their recent analyses around five socio-economic pathways (SSPs), with consistent storylines of future macroeconomic and societal developments; however, model quantification of th...

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/103642

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Stehfest, Elke ,  Zeist, Willem-Jan van ,  Valin, Hugo ,  Havlik, Petr ,  Popp, Alexander ,  Kyle, Page ,  Tabeau, Andrzej ,  Mason-D'Croz, Daniel ,  Hasegawa, Tomoko ,  Bodirsky, Benjamin L. ,  Calvin, Katherine ,  Doelman, Jonathan C ,  Fujimori, Shinichiro ,  Humpenöder, Florian ,  Lotze-Campen, Hermann ,  Meijl, Hans van ,  Wiebe, Keith ,  [Key determinants of global land-use projections] ,  Key determinants of global land-use projections
Journal Article 2011-02-15

Autor: Schneider, Uwe Havlík, Petr Schmid, Erwin Valin, Hugo Mosnier, Aline Obersteiner, Michael Böttcher, Hannes Skalský, Rastislav Balkovič, Juraj Sauer, Timm Fritz, Steffen

Over the next decades mankind will demand more food from fewer land and water resources. This study quantifies the food production impacts of four alternative development scenarios from the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment and the Special Report on Emission Scenarios. Partially and jointly conside...

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/77148

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Schneider, Uwe ,  Havlík, Petr ,  Schmid, Erwin ,  Valin, Hugo ,  Mosnier, Aline ,  Obersteiner, Michael ,  Böttcher, Hannes ,  Skalský, Rastislav ,  Balkovič, Juraj ,  Sauer, Timm ,  Fritz, Steffen ,  [Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption] ,  Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption
Journal Article 2014

Autor: Nelson, Gerald C. Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der Ahammad, H. Blanc, Elodie Calvin, Katherine Hasegawa, Tomoko Havlík, Petr Heyhoe, Edwina Kyle, Page Lotze-Campen, Hermann Lampe M. von Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Meijl, Hans van Müller, Christoph Reilly J Robertson, Richard D. Sands, Ronald D. Schmitz, Christoph Tabeau, Andrzej Takahashi, K. Valin, Hugo Willenbockel, Dirk

Agriculture is unique among economic sectors in the nature of impacts from climate change. The production activity that transforms inputs into agricultural outputs involves direct use of weather inputs (temperature, solar radiation available to the plant, and precipitation). Previous studies of t...

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/52163

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Nelson, Gerald C. ,  Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der ,  Ahammad, H. ,  Blanc, Elodie ,  Calvin, Katherine ,  Hasegawa, Tomoko ,  Havlík, Petr ,  Heyhoe, Edwina ,  Kyle, Page ,  Lotze-Campen, Hermann ,  Lampe M. von ,  Mason-D'Croz, Daniel ,  Meijl, Hans van ,  Müller, Christoph ,  Reilly J ,  Robertson, Richard D. ,  Sands, Ronald D. ,  Schmitz, Christoph ,  Tabeau, Andrzej ,  Takahashi, K. ,  Valin, Hugo ,  Willenbockel, Dirk ,  [Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree] ,  Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree
Journal Article 2014

Autor: Robinson, Sherman Meijl, Hans van Willenbockel, Dirk Valin, Hugo Fujimori, Shinichiro Masui T Sands, Ronald D. Wise, Marshall Calvin, Katherine Havlík, Petr Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Tabeau, Andrzej Kavallari, Aikaterini Schmitz, Christoph Dietrich, Jan Philipp Lampe M. von

This article compares the theoretical and functional specification of production in partial equilibrium (PE) and computable general equilibrium (CGE) models of the global agricultural and food system included in the AgMIP model comparison study. The two model families differ in their scope—partia...

Enlace original: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/10568/52165

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Robinson, Sherman ,  Meijl, Hans van ,  Willenbockel, Dirk ,  Valin, Hugo ,  Fujimori, Shinichiro ,  Masui T ,  Sands, Ronald D. ,  Wise, Marshall ,  Calvin, Katherine ,  Havlík, Petr ,  Mason-D'Croz, Daniel ,  Tabeau, Andrzej ,  Kavallari, Aikaterini ,  Schmitz, Christoph ,  Dietrich, Jan Philipp ,  Lampe M. von ,  [Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system] ,  Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system

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