Studies of global environmental change make extensive use of scenarios to explore how the future can evolve under a consistent set of assumptions. The recently developed Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) create a framework for the study of climate-related scenario outcomes. Their five narrativ...
Oliver, Fricko
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Havlík, Petr
,
Rogelj, Joeri
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Klimont, Zbigniew
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Gusti, Mykola
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Johnson, Nils
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Kolp, Peter
,
Strubegger, Manfred
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Valin, Hugo
,
Amann, Markus
,
Ermolieva, Tatiana
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Forsell, Nicklas
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Herrero, Mario T.
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Heyes, Chris
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Kindermann, Georg
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Krey, Volker
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McCollum, David L.
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Obersteiner, Michael
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Pachauri, Shonali
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Rao, Shilpa
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Schmid, Erwin
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Schoepp, Wolfgang
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Riahi, Keywan
,
[The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century]
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The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century
Land use is at the core of various sustainable development goals. Long-term climate foresight studies have structured their recent analyses around five socio-economic pathways (SSPs), with consistent storylines of future macroeconomic and societal developments; however, model quantification of th...
Stehfest, Elke
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Zeist, Willem-Jan van
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Valin, Hugo
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Havlik, Petr
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Popp, Alexander
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Kyle, Page
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Tabeau, Andrzej
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Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
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Hasegawa, Tomoko
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Bodirsky, Benjamin L.
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Calvin, Katherine
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Doelman, Jonathan C
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Fujimori, Shinichiro
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Humpenöder, Florian
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Lotze-Campen, Hermann
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Meijl, Hans van
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Wiebe, Keith
,
[Key determinants of global land-use projections]
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Key determinants of global land-use projections
Over the next decades mankind will demand more food from fewer land and water resources. This study quantifies the food production impacts of four alternative development scenarios from the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment and the Special Report on Emission Scenarios. Partially and jointly conside...
Schneider, Uwe
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Havlík, Petr
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Schmid, Erwin
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Valin, Hugo
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Böttcher, Hannes
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Skalský, Rastislav
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Balkovič, Juraj
,
Sauer, Timm
,
Fritz, Steffen
,
[Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption]
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Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption
The climate change research community’s shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) are a set of alternative global development scenarios focused on mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. To use these scenarios as a global context that is relevant for policy guidance at regional and national le...
Palazzo, Amanda
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Vervoort, Joost M.
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Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
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Rutting, Lucas
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Havlík, Petr
,
Islam, Shahnila
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Bayala, Jules
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Kadi Kadi, Hame A.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
[Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context]
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Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context
Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation poli...
Havlík, Petr
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Valin, Hugo
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Rufino, Mariana C.
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
Böttcher, Hannes
,
Conant, Richard T.
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Frank, S.
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Fritz, Steffen
,
Fuss, S.
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Kraxner, Florian
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Notenbaert, An Maria Omer
,
[Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions]
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Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions
To keep global warming possibly below 1.5 ᵒC and mitigate adverse effects of climate change, agriculture, like all other sectors, will have to contribute to efforts in achieving net negative emissions by the end of the century. Cost-efficient distribution of mitigation across regions and economic...
Frank, Stefan
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Havlík, Petr
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Soussana, Jean-Francois
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Levesque, Antoine
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Valin, Hugo
,
Wollenberg, Eva K.
,
Kleinwechter, U.
,
Fricko, Oliver
,
Gusti, Mykola
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Smith, Pete
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Kraxner, Florian
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
[Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture without compromising food security?]
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Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture without compromising food security?
Agriculture is the single largest source of anthropogenic non-carbon dioxide (non-CO2) emissions. Reaching the climate target of the Paris Agreement will require significant emission reductions across sectors by 2030 and continued efforts thereafter. Here we show that the economic potential of no...
Frank, Stefan
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Beach, Robert H.
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Havlík, Petr
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Valin, Hugo
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Creason, Jared
,
Ragnauth, Shaun
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
[Structural change as a key component for agricultural non-CO2 mitigation efforts]
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Structural change as a key component for agricultural non-CO2 mitigation efforts