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Mude, Andrew G. ,  Barrett, Christopher B. ,  McPeak, J.G. ,  Kaitho, R. ,  Kristjanson, Patricia M. ,  [Empirical forecasting of slow-onset disasters for improved emergency response: An application to Kenya’s Arid Lands] ,  Empirical forecasting of slow-onset disasters for improved emergency response: An application to Kenya’s Arid Lands