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Many assessments of climate change impacts on global crop yields project declines as early as the 2020s. Losses are projected to increase with time, up to 50% by the 2080s. We carry out a systematic global review and compare published projections of climate change impacts from 34 studies and ∼450...


Aggarwal, Pramod K.Vyas, ShalikaThornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.Kropff, Martin[Importance of considering technology growth in impact assessments of climate change on agriculture]Importance of considering technology growth in impact assessments of climate change on agriculture

The impacts of climate change on crop yields, as projected by a slew of impact assessments carried out since the 1980s, have brought the issue of future food insecurity to the fore. A meta-analysis of ~27,000 data points from studies published over the last four decades reveals that at country le...


Aggarwal, Pramod K.Vyas, ShalikaThornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.[How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?]How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?

Agricultural research for development has made important contributions to poverty reduction and food security over the last 40 years. Nevertheless, it is likely that both the speed of global change and its impacts on natural and socio-economic systems are being under-estimated. Coupled with the m...


Thornton, Philip K.Schuetz, TonyaFörch, WiebkeCramer, LauraAbreu, DavidVermeulen, Sonja J.Campbell, Bruce M.[Responding to global change: A theory of change approach to making agricultural research for development outcome-based]Responding to global change: A theory of change approach to making agricultural research for development outcome-based

Climate change will have far-reaching impacts on crop, livestock and fisheries production, and will change the prevalence of crop pests. Many of these impacts are already measurable. Climate impact studies are dominated by those on crop yields despite the limitations of climate-crop modelling, wi...


Campbell, Bruce M.Vermeulen, Sonja J.Aggarwal, Pramod K.Corner-Dolloff, CaitlinGirvetz, Evan H.Loboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaRamírez Villegas, JuliánRosenstock, Todd S.Sebastian, Leocadio S.Thornton, Philip K.Wollenberg, Eva K.[Reducing risks to food security from climate change]Reducing risks to food security from climate change

If climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is meaningfully to address the development challenges posed by climate change, effective approaches will be needed to scale up research findings. Here, eleven case studies are used to exemplify scaling-up strategies based on (1) value chains and private sector i...


Westermann, OlafFörch, WiebkeThornton, Philip K.Körner, JanaCramer, LauraCampbell, Bruce M.[Scaling up agricultural interventions: Case studies of climate-smart agriculture]Scaling up agricultural interventions: Case studies of climate-smart agriculture

Climate change impacts on agriculture have become evident, and threaten the achievement of global food security. On the other hand, the agricultural sector itself is a cause of climate change, and if actions are not taken, the sector might impede the achievement of global climate goals. Science-p...


Dinesh, DhanushZougmoré, Robert B.Vervoort, Joost M.Totin, EdmondThornton, Philip K.Solomon, DawitShirsath, PareshPede, ValerienLópez Noriega, IsabelLäderach, PeterKörner, JanaHegger, DriesGirvetz, Evan H.Friis, Anette EngelundDriessen, Peter P.J.Campbell, Bruce M.[Facilitating Change for Climate-Smart Agriculture through Science-Policy Engagement]Facilitating Change for Climate-Smart Agriculture through Science-Policy Engagement

If climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is meaningfully to address the development challenges posed by climate change, effective approaches will be needed to scale up research findings. Here, eleven case studies are used to exemplify scaling-up strategies based on (1) value chains and private sector i...


Westermann, OlafFörch, WiebkeThornton, Philip K.Körner, JanaCramer, LauraCampbell, Bruce M.[Scaling up agricultural interventions: Case studies of climate-smart agriculture]Scaling up agricultural interventions: Case studies of climate-smart agriculture

The challenges facing agriculture in the coming decades are daunting. Recent research suggests that the impacts of climate change on agriculture and food systems may be wider-ranging than previously understood. Can feasible pathways to a food secure and sustainable future be identified? The scale...


Thornton, Philip K.Dinesh, DhanushCramer, LauraLoboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaCampbell, Bruce M.[Agriculture in a changing climate: Keeping our cool in the face of the hothouse]Agriculture in a changing climate: Keeping our cool in the face of the hothouse
Wollenberg, Eva K.Richards, MerylSmith, PeteHavlík, PetrObersteiner, MichaelTubiello, F.N.Herold, MartinGerber, Pierre J.Carter, S.Reisinger, AndyVuuren, D. vanDickie, ANeufeldt, HenrySander, Bjoern OleWassmann, ReinerSommer, RolfAmonette, JEFalcucci, A.Herrero, Mario T.Opio, C.Román Cuesta, Rosa MariaStehfest, ElkeWesthoek, H.J.Ortiz Monasterio, IvanSapkota, Tek BahadurRufino, Mariana C.Thornton, Philip K.Verchot, Louis V.West, Paul C.Soussana, J.F.Baedeker, TobiasSadler, MVermeulen, Sonja J.Campbell, Bruce M.[Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2°C target]Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2°C target

Climate variability is a major source of risk to smallholder farmers and pastoralists, particularly in dryland regions. A growing body of evidence links climate-related risk to the extent and the persistence of rural poverty in these environments. Stochastic shocks erode smallholder farmers' long...


Hansen, JamesHellin, JonRosenstock, Todd S.Fisher, EleanorCairns, Jill E.Stirling, Clare M.Lamanna, ChristineEtten, Jacob vanRose, AlisonCampbell, Bruce M.[Climate risk management and rural poverty reduction]Climate risk management and rural poverty reduction

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