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In order for climate forecasting to be used in developing adaptation options, the forecasts should be able to affect decisions made by stakeholders in a manner that improves outcomes. The implications of this requirement for forecasting are presented under five headings: relevance, reliability, s...


Challinor, Andrew J.[Towards the development of adaptation options using climate and crop yield forecasting at seasonal to multi-decadal timescales]Towards the development of adaptation options using climate and crop yield forecasting at seasonal to multi-decadal timescales

Tools for projecting crop productivity under a range of conditions, and assessing adaptation options, are an important part of the endeavour to prioritize investment in adaptation. We present ensemble projections of crop productivity that account for biophysical processes, inherent uncertainty an...


Challinor, Andrew J.Simelton, ElisabethFraser EDGHemming DCollins M[Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China]Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China
Cammarano, DavideRötter, Reimund P.Asseng, SentholdEwert, FrankWallach, DanielMartre, PierreHatfield, Jerry L.Jones, James W.Rosenzweig, CynthiaRuane, Alex C.Boote, Kenneth J.Thorburn, Peter J.Kersebaum, Kurt-ChristianAggarwal, Pramod K.Angulo, CarlosBasso, BrunoBertuzzi, PatrickBiernath, ChristianBrisson, NadineChallinor, Andrew J.Doltra, JordiGayler, SebastianGoldberg, RichieHeng, LeeHooker, JoshHunt, Leslie A.Ingwersen, JoachimIzaurralde, Roberto CésarMüller, ChristophKumar, Soora NareshNendel, ClaasO'Leary, Garry J.Olesen, J.E.Osborne, Tom M.Palosuo, TaruPriesack, EckartRipoche, DominiqueSemenov, Mikhail A.Shcherbak, IuriiSteduto, PasqualeStöckle, Claudio O.Stratonovitch, PierreStreck, ThiloSupit, IwanTao, FuluTravasso, MariaWaha, KatharinaWhite, Jeffrey W.Wolf, Joost[Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity totemperature and CO2]Uncertainty of wheat water use: Simulated patterns and sensitivity totemperature and CO2

When projecting future crop production, the skill of regional scale (>100 km resolution) crop models is limited by the spatial and temporal accuracy of the calibration and weather data used. The skill of climate models in reproducing surface properties such as mean temperature and rainfall patter...


Watson, J.Challinor, Andrew J.[The relative importance of rainfall, temperature and yield data for a regional scale crop model]The relative importance of rainfall, temperature and yield data for a regional scale crop model

To achieve food security for many in low-income and middle-income countries for whom this is already a challenge, especially with the additional complications of climate change, will require early investment to support smallholder farming systems and the associated food systems that supply poor c...


Vermeulen, Sonja J.Zougmoré, Robert B.Wollenberg, Eva K.Thornton, Philip K.Nelson, Gerald C.Kristjanson, Patricia M.Kinyangi, JamesJarvis, AndyHansen, JamesChallinor, Andrew J.Campbell, Bruce M.Aggarwal, Pramod K.[Climate change, agriculture and food security: A global partnership to link research and action for low-income agricultural producers and consumers]Climate change, agriculture and food security: A global partnership to link research and action for low-income agricultural producers and consumers

Global temperatures have not been this high in at least 4,000 years. The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere today - 400 parts per million - has not been this high for three million years. Climate change has moved from an abstract concept to a basic fact of nature, and scientists ha...


Vermeulen, Sonja J.Challinor, Andrew J.[How farmers can adapt to a warming world]How farmers can adapt to a warming world

Population growth in the next few decades will increase the need for food production, while the yields of major food crops could be impacted by the changing climate and changing threats from pests and pathogens. Crop breeding, both through conventional techniques, and GM assisted breeding could h...


Faloon, PBebber, DBushell, MChallinor, Andrew J.Dessai, S.Gurr, SKöhler, Ann-Kristin[Using climate information to support crop breeding decisions and adaptation in agriculture]Using climate information to support crop breeding decisions and adaptation in agriculture

Understanding the relationship between climate and crop productivity is a key component of projections of future food production, and hence assessments of food security. Climate models and crop yield datasets have errors, but the effects of these errors on regional scale crop models is not well c...


Watson, J.Challinor, Andrew J.Fricker TEFerro CAT[Comparing the effects of calibration and climate errors on a statistical crop model and a process-based crop model]Comparing the effects of calibration and climate errors on a statistical crop model and a process-based crop model

Climate change impacts upon the world's poorest most heavily. It is therefore essential that international development initiatives focus on improving the ability of developing countries to adapt to the effects of climate change. This book, a product of research by the JICA-RI (Research Institute ...


Challinor, Andrew J.[Climate change projections in some Asian countries]Climate change projections in some Asian countries
Stafford Smith, M.Challinor, Andrew J.Thornton, Philip K.Whetton, P.Thomas, C.Moss, R.Carter, T.[Scenarios for transformational adaptation (in a ‘4+°C world)]Scenarios for transformational adaptation (in a ‘4+°C world)

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