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Wallach, DanielThorburn, Peter J.Asseng, SentholdChallinor, Andrew J.Ewert, FrankJones, James W.Rotter, Reimund P.Ruane, Alex C.[Estimating model prediction error: Should you treat predictions as fixed or random?]Estimating model prediction error: Should you treat predictions as fixed or random?

The development of crop varieties that are better suited to new climatic conditions is vital for future food production1, 2. Increases in mean temperature accelerate crop development, resulting in shorter crop durations and reduced time to accumulate biomass and yield3, 4. The process of breeding...


Challinor, Andrew J.Köhler, Ann-KristinRamírez Villegas, JuliánWhitfield, StephenDas, B.[Current warming will reduce yields unless maize breeding and seed systems adapt immediately]Current warming will reduce yields unless maize breeding and seed systems adapt immediately

Climate change has been projected to significantly affect agricultural productivity and hence food availability in the coming decades. The uncertainty associated with projecting climate change impacts is a barrier to agricultural adaptation. Despite uncertainty quantification becoming more promin...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánChallinor, Andrew J.[Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations]Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations
Rippke URamírez Villegas, JuliánJarvis, AndyVermeulen, Sonja J.Parker LMer FDiekkrüger, B.Challinor, Andrew J.Howden, Mark[Timescales of transformational climate change adaptation in sub-Saharan African agriculture]Timescales of transformational climate change adaptation in sub-Saharan African agriculture

Increasing global CO2 emissions have profound consequences for plant biology, not least because of direct influences on carbon gain. However, much remains uncertain regarding how our major crops will respond to a future high CO2 world. Crop model inter-comparison studies have identified large unc...


Fodor, NándorChallinor, Andrew J.Droutsas, IoannisRamírez Villegas, JuliánZabel, FlorianKöhler, Ann-KristinFoyer, Christine H.[Integrating Plant Science and Crop Modeling: Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Soybean and Maize Production]Integrating Plant Science and Crop Modeling: Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Soybean and Maize Production
Asseng, SentholdMartre, PierreMaiorano, AndreaRötter, ReimundO’Leary, Garry JFitzgerald, Glenn JGirousse, ChristineMotzo, RosellaGiunta, FrancescoBabar, Muhammad AliReynolds, Matthew PKheir, AhmedThorburn, Peter JWaha, KatharinaRuane, AlexAggarwal, Pramod KAhmed, MukhtarBalkovic, JurajBasso, BrunoBiernath, ChristianBindi, MarcoCammarano, DavideChallinor, Andrew J.De Sanctis, GiacomoDumont, BenjaminRezaei, Ehsan EyshiFereres, EliasFerrise, RobertoGarcia-Vila, MargaritaGayler, SebastianGao, YujingHoran, HeidiHoogenboom, GerritIzaurralde, Roberto CesarJabloun, MohamedJones, Curtis DKassie, Belay TKersebaum, Kurt ChristianKlein, ChristianKöhler, Ann-KristinLiu, BingMinoli, SaraMontesino, ManuelMüller, ChristophKumar, Soora NareshNendel, ClaasOlesen, Jørgen EPalosuo, TaruPorter, John RPriesack, EckartRipoche, DominiqueSemenov, Mikhail AStöckle, ClaudioStratonovitch, PierreStreck, ThiloSupit, IwanTao, FuluVan der Velde, MarijnWallach, DanielWang, EnliWebber, HeidiWolf, JoostXiao, LiujunZhang, ZhaoZhao, ZhiganZhu, YanEwert, Frank[Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein]Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein

We present a framework for prioritizing adaptation approaches at a range of timeframes. The framework is illustrated by four case studies from developing countries, each with associated characterization of uncertainty. Two cases on near-term adaptation planning in Sri Lanka and on stakeholder sce...


Vermeulen, Sonja J.Challinor, Andrew J.Thornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.Eriyagama, NishadiVervoort, Joost M.Kinyangi, JamesJarvis, AndyLäderach, PeterRamírez Villegas, JuliánNicklin, K.J.Hawkins, E.Smith, D.R.[Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture]Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture
Asseng, SentholdEwert, FrankRosenzweig, CynthiaJones, James W.Hatfield, Jerry L.Ruane, Alex C.Boote, Kenneth J.Thorburn, Peter J.Rötter, Reimund P.Cammarano, DavideBrisson, NadineBasso, BrunoMarthe, PAggarwal, Pramod K.Angulo, CarlosBertuzzi, PatrickBiernath, ChristianChallinor, Andrew J.Doltra, JordiGayler, SebastianGoldberg, Richard A.Grant, RobertHeng, LeeHooker, JoshHunt, Leslie A.Ingwersen, JoachimIzaurralde, Roberto CésarKersebaum, Kurt-ChristianMüller, ChristophNaresh Kumar, SooraNendel, ClaasO'Leary, Garry J.Olesen, J.E.Osborne, Tom M.Palosuo, TaruPriesack, EckartRipoche, DominiqueSemenov, Mikhail A.Shcherbak, IuriiSteduto, PasqualeStöckle, Claudio O.Stratonovitch, PierreStreck, ThiloSupit, IwanTao, FuluTravasso, MariaWaha, KatharinaWallach, DanielWhite, Jeffrey W.Williams, JRWolf, J.[Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change]Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change

Agriculture and food security are key sectors for intervention under climate change. Agricultural production is highly vulnerable even to 2C (low-end) predictions for global mean temperatures in 2100, with major implications for rural poverty and for both rural and urban food security. Agricultur...


Vermeulen, Sonja J.Aggarwal, Pramod K.Ainslie, A.Angelone, C.Campbell, Bruce M.Challinor, Andrew J.Hansen, JamesIngram, J.S.I.Jarvis, AndyKristjanson, Patricia M.Lau, CharlotteNelson, Gerald C.Thornton, Philip K.Wollenberg, Eva K.[Options for support to agriculture and food security under climate change]Options for support to agriculture and food security under climate change
Martre, PierreKimball, Bruce A.Ottman, Michael J.Wall, Gerard W.White, Jeffrey W.Asseng, SentholdEwert, FrankCammarano, DavideMaiorano, AndreaAggarwal, Pramod K.Anothai, JakaratBasso, BrunoBiernath, ChristianChallinor, Andrew J.Sanctis, Giacomo deDoltra, JordiDumont, BenjaminFereres, EliasGarcía Vila, MargaritaGayler, SebastianHoogenboom, GerritHunt, Leslie A.Izaurralde, Roberto CésarJabloun, MohamedJones, Curtis D.Kassie, Belay T.Kersebaum, Kurt-ChristianKöhler, Ann-KristinMüller, ChristophKumar, Soora NareshLiu, BingLobell, David B.Nendel, ClaasO'Leary, Garry J.Olesen, Jørgen E.Palosuo, TaruPriesack, EckartRezaei, Ehsan EyshiRipoche, DominiqueRötter, Reimund P.Semenov, Mikhail A.Stöckle, Claudio O.Stratonovitch, PierreStreck, ThiloSupit, IwanTao, FuluThorburn, Peter J.Waha, KatharinaWang, EnliWolf, JoostZhao, ZhiganZhu, Yan[The Hot Serial Cereal Experiment for modeling wheat response to temperature: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations]The Hot Serial Cereal Experiment for modeling wheat response to temperature: field experiments and AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations

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