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Tools for projecting crop productivity under a range of conditions, and assessing adaptation options, are an important part of the endeavour to prioritize investment in adaptation. We present ensemble projections of crop productivity that account for biophysical processes, inherent uncertainty an...


Challinor, Andrew J.Simelton, ElisabethFraser EDGHemming DCollins M[Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China]Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China
Ruane, Alex C.Hudson, Nicholas I.Asseng, SentholdCamarrano, DavideEwert, FrankMartre, PierreBoote, Kenneth J.Thorburn, Peter J.Aggarwal, Pramod K.Angulo, CarlosBasso, BrunoBertuzzi, PatrickBiernath, ChristianBrisson, NadineChallinor, Andrew J.Doltra, JordiGayler, SebastianGoldberg, Richard A.Grant, Robert F.Heng, LeeHooker, JoshHunt, Leslie A.Ingwersen, JoachimIzaurralde, Roberto CésarKersebaum, Kurt-ChristianKumar, Soora NareshMüller, ChristophNendel, ClaasO'Leary, Garry J.Olesen, J.E.Osborne, Tom M.Palosuo, TaruPriesack, EckartRipoche, DominiqueRotter, Reimund P.Semenov, Mikhail A.Shcherbak, IuriiSteduto, PasqualeStöckle, Claudio O.Stratonovitch, PierreStreck, ThiloSupit, IwanTao, FuluTravasso, MariaWaha, KatharinaWallach, DanielWhite, Jeffrey W.Wolf, Joost[Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability]Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability
Martre, PierreWallach, DanielAsseng, SentholdEwert, FrankJones, James W.Rötter, Reimund P.Boote, Kenneth J.Ruane, Alex C.Thorburn, Peter J.Cammarano, DavideHatfield, Jerry L.Rosenzweig, CynthiaAggarwal, Pramod K.Angulo, CarlosBasso, BrunoBertuzzi, PatrickBiernath, ChristianBrisson, NadineChallinor, Andrew J.Doltra, JordiGayler, SebastianGoldberg, RichieGrant, Robert F.Heng, LeeHooker, JoshHunt, Leslie A.Ingwersen, JoachimIzaurralde, Roberto CésarKersebaum, Kurt-ChristianMüller, ChristophKumar, Soora NareshNendel, ClaasO'Leary, Garry J.Olesen, J.E.Osborne, Tom M.Palosuo, TaruPriesack, EckartRipoche, DominiqueSemenov, Mikhail A.Shcherbak, IuriiSteduto, PasqualeStöckle, Claudio O.Stratonovitch, PierreStreck, ThiloSupit, IwanTao, FuluTravasso, MariaWaha, KatharinaWhite, Jeffrey W.Wolf, Joost[Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one]Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: many models are better than one

Recent changes in climate have had a measurable impact on crop yield in China. The objective of this study is to investigate how climate variability affects wheat yield in China at different spatial scales. First the response of wheat yield to the climate at the provincial level from 1978 to 1995...


Li SWheeler, TimChallinor, Andrew J.Erda, LinJu HYinlong X[The observed relationships between wheat and climate in China]The observed relationships between wheat and climate in China

Temperature is one of the most prominent environmental factors that determine plant growth, devel- opment, and yield. Cool and moist conditions are most favorable for wheat. Wheat is likely to be highly vulnerable to further warming because currently the temperature is already close to or above o...


Li SWheeler, TimChallinor, Andrew J.Erda, LinYinlong XHui J[Simulating the impacts of global warming on wheat in China using a large area crop model]Simulating the impacts of global warming on wheat in China using a large area crop model

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