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This report presents 4 scenarios for the future of food security, agriculture, livelihoods and environments in East Africa. These scenarios were developed by the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in collaboration with a wide range of regional stakeholders. Th...


Vervoort, Joost M.Palazzo, AmandaMason-D'Croz, DanielEricksen, Polly J.Thornton, Philip K.Kristjanson, Patricia M.Förch, WiebkeHerrero, Mario T.Havlík, PetrJost, ChristineRowlands, H.[The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Eastern Africa: four socio-economic scenarios]The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Eastern Africa: four socio-economic scenarios

This working paper examines the development of regional socioeconomic scenarios for West Africa’s development, agriculture, food security and climate impacts. We present four globally consistent regional scenarios framed and outlined by regional experts who crafted narratives and determined key d...


Palazzo, AmandaRutting, LucasZougmoré, Robert B.Vervoort, Joost M.Havlík, PetrJalloh, AbdulaiAubee, ErnstHelfgott, Ariella E.S.Mason-D'Croz, DanielIslam, ShahnilaEricksen, Polly J.Segda, ZénabouMoussa, Abdoulaye S.Bayala, JulesKadi Kadi, Hame A.Sibiry Traoré, Pierre C.Thornton, Philip K.Valin, Hugo[The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios]The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios

Because vulnerability is a conceptual construct rather than a directly observable phenomenon, most vulnerability assessments measure a set of “vulnerability indicators”. In order to identify the core approaches and range of variation in the field, we conducted a systematic literature review on lo...


Delaney, A.Chesterman, SabrinaCrane, Todd A.Tamás, Peter A.Ericksen, Polly J.[A systematic review of local vulnerability to climate change: in search of transparency, coherence and comparability]A systematic review of local vulnerability to climate change: in search of transparency, coherence and comparability

The dynamics of systemic societal transformations are not well understood, and the extent to which such transformations can be governed is contested. This research paper is the result of a joint effort among a small group of researchers to identify pathways for transformation towards sustainable ...


Bers, Caroline vanPahl-Wostl, ClaudiaEakin, HallieEricksen, Polly J.Lenaerts, LutgartFörch, WiebkeKorhonen-Kurki, KaisaMethner, NadineJones, LindseyVasileiou, IoannisEriksen, Siri[Transformation in governance towards resilient food systems]Transformation in governance towards resilient food systems

Global environmental change (GEC) represents an immediate and unprecedented threat to the food security of hundreds of millions of people, especially those who depend on small-scale agriculture for their livelihoods. As this book shows, at the same time, agriculture and related activities also co...


Ingram, J.Ericksen, Polly J.Liverman, D.[Food security and global environmental change]Food security and global environmental change

Many projections of the impact of climate change on the crop, livestock and fishery production sectors of African agriculture are reported in the literature. However, they may be arguably too general to understand the magnitude of impact and to inform adaptation strategies and policy development ...


Zougmoré, Robert B.Partey, Samuel T.Ouédraogo, MathieuOmitoyin, BamideleThomas, Timothy S.Ayantunde, Augustine A.Ericksen, Polly J.Said, Mohammed YahyaJalloh, Abdulai[Toward climate-smart agriculture in West Africa: a review of climate change impacts, adaptation strategies and policy developments for the livestock, fishery and crop production sectors]Toward climate-smart agriculture in West Africa: a review of climate change impacts, adaptation strategies and policy developments for the livestock, fishery and crop production sectors

Most research linking global environmental change and food security focuses solely on agriculture: either the impact of climate change on agricultural production, or the impact of agriculture on the environment, e.g. on land use, greenhouse gas emissions, pollution and/or biodiversity. Important ...


Ericksen, Polly J.Ingram, J.S.I.Liverman, D.M.[Food security and global environmental change: Emerging challenges]Food security and global environmental change: Emerging challenges

This paper outlines a framework for studying the multiple interactions of broadly defined food systems with global environmental change and evaluating the major societal outcomes affected by these interactions: food security, ecosystem services and social welfare. In building the framework the pa...


Ericksen, Polly J.[Conceptualizing food systems for global environmental change research]Conceptualizing food systems for global environmental change research

Assessing the vulnerability of broadly described food systems to global environmental change requires a new, synthetic approach. Food systems can best be conceptualized as the integration of humans and the environment or coupled social-ecological systems. However, much of the existing literature ...


Ericksen, Polly J.[What is the vulnerability of a food system to global environmental change?]What is the vulnerability of a food system to global environmental change?

This is one of a series of documents that summarises information relating to the livestock sector in the three PCSL countries (Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda). Prevailing livestock systems and their baseline performance in Ethiopia is summarised first, followed by a summary of what is known about the...


Thornton, Philip K.Enahoro, DolapoNjiru, NellyWijk, Mark T. vanAshley, LaurieCramer, LauraEricksen, Polly J.Graham, Michael[Program for climate-smart livestock systems. Country stocktake: Ethiopia]Program for climate-smart livestock systems. Country stocktake: Ethiopia

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