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This report presents 4 scenarios for the future of food security, agriculture, livelihoods and environments in East Africa. These scenarios were developed by the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in collaboration with a wide range of regional stakeholders. Th...


Vervoort, Joost M.Palazzo, AmandaMason-D'Croz, DanielEricksen, Polly J.Thornton, Philip K.Kristjanson, Patricia M.Förch, WiebkeHerrero, Mario T.Havlík, PetrJost, ChristineRowlands, H.[The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Eastern Africa: four socio-economic scenarios]The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Eastern Africa: four socio-economic scenarios

This working paper examines the development of regional socioeconomic scenarios for West Africa’s development, agriculture, food security and climate impacts. We present four globally consistent regional scenarios framed and outlined by regional experts who crafted narratives and determined key d...


Palazzo, AmandaRutting, LucasZougmoré, Robert B.Vervoort, Joost M.Havlík, PetrJalloh, AbdulaiAubee, ErnstHelfgott, Ariella E.S.Mason-D'Croz, DanielIslam, ShahnilaEricksen, Polly J.Segda, ZénabouMoussa, Abdoulaye S.Bayala, JulesKadi Kadi, Hame A.Sibiry Traoré, Pierre C.Thornton, Philip K.Valin, Hugo[The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios]The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios

Because vulnerability is a conceptual construct rather than a directly observable phenomenon, most vulnerability assessments measure a set of “vulnerability indicators”. In order to identify the core approaches and range of variation in the field, we conducted a systematic literature review on lo...


Delaney, A.Chesterman, SabrinaCrane, Todd A.Tamás, Peter A.Ericksen, Polly J.[A systematic review of local vulnerability to climate change: in search of transparency, coherence and comparability]A systematic review of local vulnerability to climate change: in search of transparency, coherence and comparability

The dynamics of systemic societal transformations are not well understood, and the extent to which such transformations can be governed is contested. This research paper is the result of a joint effort among a small group of researchers to identify pathways for transformation towards sustainable ...


Bers, Caroline vanPahl-Wostl, ClaudiaEakin, HallieEricksen, Polly J.Lenaerts, LutgartFörch, WiebkeKorhonen-Kurki, KaisaMethner, NadineJones, LindseyVasileiou, IoannisEriksen, Siri[Transformation in governance towards resilient food systems]Transformation in governance towards resilient food systems

Gettel, GretchenMuhadia, CollinsEricksen, Polly J.[Livestock and water in developing countries]Livestock and water in developing countries
Hills, T.Pramova, E.Neufeldt, HenryEricksen, Polly J.Thornton, Philip K.Noble, A.D.Weight, ElizabethCampbell, Bruce M.McCartney, Matthew P.[A monitoring instrument for resilience]A monitoring instrument for resilience

This document describes a monitoring instrument for efficiently tracking changes in resilience in agricultural initiatives. Operationalizing the concept of resilience (i.e. the ability to withstand change, stresses and shocks) poses significant challenges for project managers, particularly when r...


Hills TPramova ENeufeldt, HenryEricksen, Polly J.Thornton, Philip K.Noble, A.D.Weight, ElizabethCampbell, Bruce M.McCartney, Matthew P.[A Monitoring Instrument for Resilience]A Monitoring Instrument for Resilience

As adaptation to climate change is a major theme for CCAFS, the programme needs a method for monitoring and evaluating interventions intended to foster adaptation and enhance adaptive capacity across food systems. This report explored current approaches to monitoring and evaluation of climate cha...


Chesterman, SabrinaEricksen, Polly J.[Monitoring adaptation to enhance food security: a survey of approaches and best practice]Monitoring adaptation to enhance food security: a survey of approaches and best practice

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