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Climate change has a number of observed, anticipated, or possible consequences on crop health worldwide. Global change, on the other hand, incorporates a number of drivers of change, including global population increase, natural resource evolution, and supply demand shifts in markets, from local ...


Savary, S.Nelson, A.Sparks, Adam H.Willocquet, L.Duveiller, E.Mahuku, George S.Forbes, G.Garrett, K.A.Hodson, D.Padgham, J.Pande, S.Sharma, M.Yuen, J.Djurle, A.[International agricultural research tackling the effects of global and climate changes on plant diseases in the developing world]International agricultural research tackling the effects of global and climate changes on plant diseases in the developing world

Process-based ecological models used to assess organisms' responses to environmental conditions often need input data at a high temporal resolution, e.g., hourly or daily weather data. Such input data may not be available at a high spatial resolution for large areas, limiting opportunities to use...


Sparks, Adam H.Forbes, G.Hijmans R.J.Garrett, K.A.[A metamodeling framework for extending the application domain of process-based ecological models]A metamodeling framework for extending the application domain of process-based ecological models

The impacts of climate change on ecosystem services are complex in the sense that effective prediction requires consideration of a wide range of factors. Useful analysis of climate-change impacts on crops and native plant systems will often require consideration of the wide array of other biota t...


Garrett, K.A.Forbes, G.Savary SSkelsey PSparks, Adam H.Valdivia, C.Bruggen, A.H.C. vanWillocquet, L.Djurle, A.Duveiller, E.Eckersten, H.Pande, S.Vera Cruz, C.Yuen J[Complexity in climate-change impacts: an analytical framework for effects mediated by plant disease]Complexity in climate-change impacts: an analytical framework for effects mediated by plant disease

If climate change scenarios include higher variance in weather variables, this can have important effects on pest and disease risk beyond changes in mean weather conditions. We developed a theoretical model of yield loss to diseases and pests as a function of weather, and used this model to evalu...


Garrett, K.A.Dobson, A.D.M.Kroschel, J.Natarajan BOrlandini STonnang, Henri E.Z.Valdivia, C.[The effects of climate variability and the color of weather time series on agricultural diseases and pests, and on decisions for their management]The effects of climate variability and the color of weather time series on agricultural diseases and pests, and on decisions for their management

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