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Fungal diseases are major threats to the most important crops upon which humanity depends. Were there to be a major epidemic that severely reduced yields, its effects would spread throughout the globalized food system. To explore these ramifications, we use a partial equilibrium economic model of...


Godfray, H. Charles J.Mason-D'Croz, DanielRobinson, Sherman[Food system consequences of a fungal disease epidemic in a major crop]Food system consequences of a fungal disease epidemic in a major crop

One of the most important consequences of climate change could be its effects on agriculture. Although much research has focused on questions of food security, less has been devoted to assessing the wider health impacts of future changes in agricultural production. In this modelling study, we est...


Springmann, MarcoMason-D'Croz, DanielRobinson, ShermanGarnett, TaraGodfray, H. Charles J.Gollin, DouglasRayner, MikeBallon, PaolaScarborough, Peter[Global and regional health effects of future food production under climate change: A modelling study]Global and regional health effects of future food production under climate change: A modelling study

Food security is high on the global policy agenda. Demand for food is increasing as populations grow and gain wealth to purchase more varied and resource-intensive diets. There is increased competition for land, water, energy, and other inputs into food production. Climate change poses challenges...


Garnett, TaraAppleby, M.C.Balmford, A.Bateman, I.J.Benton, T.G.Bloomer, P.Burlingame, B.Dawkins, M.Dolan, L.Fraser, D.Herrero, Mario T.Hoffmann, I.Smith, PeteThornton, Philip K.Toulmin, C.Vermeulen, Sonja J.Godfray, H. Charles J.[Sustainable intensification in agriculture: premises and policies]Sustainable intensification in agriculture: premises and policies

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