Studies of global environmental change make extensive use of scenarios to explore how the future can evolve under a consistent set of assumptions. The recently developed Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) create a framework for the study of climate-related scenario outcomes. Their five narrativ...
Oliver, Fricko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Rogelj, Joeri
,
Klimont, Zbigniew
,
Gusti, Mykola
,
Johnson, Nils
,
Kolp, Peter
,
Strubegger, Manfred
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Amann, Markus
,
Ermolieva, Tatiana
,
Forsell, Nicklas
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Heyes, Chris
,
Kindermann, Georg
,
Krey, Volker
,
McCollum, David L.
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Pachauri, Shonali
,
Rao, Shilpa
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Schoepp, Wolfgang
,
Riahi, Keywan
,
[The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century]
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The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century
At the 21st session of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC, COP21), a voluntary action plan, the ‘4 per 1000 Initiative: Soils for Food Security and Climate’ was proposed under the Agenda for Action. The Initiative underlines the role of soil organic matter (SOM) in ...
Soussana, Jean-François
,
Lutfalla, Suzanne
,
Ehrhardt, Fiona
,
Rosenstock, Todd S.
,
Lammana, Christine
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Richards, Meryl
,
Wollenberg, Eva K.
,
Chotte, Jean-Luc
,
Torquebiau, Emmanuel F.
,
Ciais, Philippe
,
Smith, Pete
,
Lal, Rattan
,
[Matching policy and science: Rationale for the ‘4 per 1000 - soils for food security and climate’ initiative]
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Matching policy and science: Rationale for the ‘4 per 1000 - soils for food security and climate’ initiative
Decision-makers aiming to improve food security, livelihoods and resilience are faced with an uncertain future. To develop robust policies they need tools to explore the potential effects of uncertain climatic, socioeconomic, and environmental changes. Methods have been developed to use scenarios...
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Vervoort, Joost M.
,
Palazzo, Amanda
,
Islam, Shahnila
,
Lord S
,
Helfgott, Ariella E.S.
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Peou R
,
Sassen M
,
Veeger, Marieke
,
Soesbergen, A. van
,
Arnell, A.P.
,
Stuch B
,
Arslan, A.
,
Lipper, Leslie
,
[Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia]
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Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia
Over the next decades mankind will demand more food from fewer land and water resources. This study quantifies the food production impacts of four alternative development scenarios from the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment and the Special Report on Emission Scenarios. Partially and jointly conside...
Schneider, Uwe
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Böttcher, Hannes
,
Skalský, Rastislav
,
Balkovič, Juraj
,
Sauer, Timm
,
Fritz, Steffen
,
[Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption]
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Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption
At the 21st session of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC, COP21), a
voluntary action plan, the ‘4 per 1000 Initiative: Soils for Food Security and Climate’ was proposed under the Agenda for Action. The Initiative underlines the role of soil organic matter (SOM) in ...
Soussana, Jean-François
,
Lutfalla, Suzanne
,
Ehrhardt, Fiona
,
Rosenstock, Todd S.
,
Lamanna, Christine
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Richards, Meryl
,
Wollenberg, Eva K.
,
Chotte, Jean-Luc
,
Torquebiau, Emmanuel F.
,
Ciais, Philippe
,
Smith, Pete
,
Lal, Rattan
,
[Matching policy and science: Rationale for the ‘4 per 1000 - soils for food security and climate’ initiative]
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Matching policy and science: Rationale for the ‘4 per 1000 - soils for food security and climate’ initiative
The climate change research community’s shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) are a set of alternative global development scenarios focused on mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. To use these scenarios as a global context that is relevant for policy guidance at regional and national le...
Palazzo, Amanda
,
Vervoort, Joost M.
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Rutting, Lucas
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Islam, Shahnila
,
Bayala, Jules
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Kadi Kadi, Hame A.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
[Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context]
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Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context
The authors discuss the main climate change impacts on pastoralist societies,
including those on rangelands, livestock and other natural resources, and their
extended repercussions on food security, incomes and vulnerability. The impacts of
climate change on the rangelands of the globe and on the...
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Addison, Jane
,
Bedelian, Claire
,
Carabine, Elizabeth
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Henderson, Benjamin B.
,
Steeg, Jeannette van de
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
[Le changement climatique et le pastoralisme : effets, conséquences et adaptation, Cambio climático y pastoreo: efectos directos, repercusiones y adaptación]
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[Climate change and pastoralism: impacts, consequences and adaptation]
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Climate change and pastoralism: impacts, consequences and adaptation
100-year Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) are used almost universally to compare emissions of greenhouse gases in national inventories and reduction targets. GWPs have been criticised on several grounds, but little work has been done to determine global mitigation costs under alternative physics-...
Reisinger, A.
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Riahi, K.
,
Vliet, O. van
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
[Implications of alternative metrics for global mitigation costs and greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture]
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Implications of alternative metrics for global mitigation costs and greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture
Information about the global structure of agriculture and nutrient production and its diversity is essential to improve present understanding of national food production patterns, agricultural livelihoods, and food chains, and their linkages to land use and their associated ecosystems services. H...
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
Power, B.
,
Bogard, Jessica R.
,
Remans, R.
,
Fritz, S.
,
Gerber, James S
,
Nelson, Gerald C.
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See, L.
,
Waha, K.
,
Watson, R.A.
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West, Paul C.
,
Samberg, L.H.
,
Steeg, Jeannette van de
,
Stephenson, E.
,
Wijk, Mark T. van
,
Havlík, Petr
,
[Farming and the geography of nutrient production for human use: a transdisciplinary analysis]
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Farming and the geography of nutrient production for human use: a transdisciplinary analysis
Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation poli...
Havlík, Petr
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Rufino, Mariana C.
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
Böttcher, Hannes
,
Conant, Richard T.
,
Frank, S.
,
Fritz, Steffen
,
Fuss, S.
,
Kraxner, Florian
,
Notenbaert, An Maria Omer
,
[Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions]
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Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions