Studies of global environmental change make extensive use of scenarios to explore how the future can evolve under a consistent set of assumptions. The recently developed Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) create a framework for the study of climate-related scenario outcomes. Their five narrativ...
Oliver, Fricko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Rogelj, Joeri
,
Klimont, Zbigniew
,
Gusti, Mykola
,
Johnson, Nils
,
Kolp, Peter
,
Strubegger, Manfred
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Amann, Markus
,
Ermolieva, Tatiana
,
Forsell, Nicklas
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Heyes, Chris
,
Kindermann, Georg
,
Krey, Volker
,
McCollum, David L.
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Pachauri, Shonali
,
Rao, Shilpa
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Schoepp, Wolfgang
,
Riahi, Keywan
,
[The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century]
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The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century
In this letter, we investigate the effects of crop yield and livestock feed efficiency scenarios on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture and land use change in developing countries. We analyze mitigation associated with different productivity pathways using the global partial equilibri...
Valin, Hugo
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
[Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions: Trade-offs or synergies between mitigation and food security?]
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Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions: Trade-offs or synergies between mitigation and food security?
At the 21st session of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC, COP21), a voluntary action plan, the ‘4 per 1000 Initiative: Soils for Food Security and Climate’ was proposed under the Agenda for Action. The Initiative underlines the role of soil organic matter (SOM) in ...
Soussana, Jean-François
,
Lutfalla, Suzanne
,
Ehrhardt, Fiona
,
Rosenstock, Todd S.
,
Lammana, Christine
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Richards, Meryl
,
Wollenberg, Eva K.
,
Chotte, Jean-Luc
,
Torquebiau, Emmanuel F.
,
Ciais, Philippe
,
Smith, Pete
,
Lal, Rattan
,
[Matching policy and science: Rationale for the ‘4 per 1000 - soils for food security and climate’ initiative]
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Matching policy and science: Rationale for the ‘4 per 1000 - soils for food security and climate’ initiative
Decision-makers aiming to improve food security, livelihoods and resilience are faced with an uncertain future. To develop robust policies they need tools to explore the potential effects of uncertain climatic, socioeconomic, and environmental changes. Methods have been developed to use scenarios...
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Vervoort, Joost M.
,
Palazzo, Amanda
,
Islam, Shahnila
,
Lord S
,
Helfgott, Ariella E.S.
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Peou R
,
Sassen M
,
Veeger, Marieke
,
Soesbergen, A. van
,
Arnell, A.P.
,
Stuch B
,
Arslan, A.
,
Lipper, Leslie
,
[Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia]
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Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia
Over the next decades mankind will demand more food from fewer land and water resources. This study quantifies the food production impacts of four alternative development scenarios from the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment and the Special Report on Emission Scenarios. Partially and jointly conside...
Schneider, Uwe
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Böttcher, Hannes
,
Skalský, Rastislav
,
Balkovič, Juraj
,
Sauer, Timm
,
Fritz, Steffen
,
[Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption]
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Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption
Recent studies assessing plausible futures for agricultural markets and global food security have had contradictory outcomes. To advance our understanding of the sources of the differences, 10 global economic models that produce long-term scenarios were asked to compare a reference scenario with ...
Lampe M. von
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Blanc, Elodie
,
Cai, Yongxia
,
Calvin, Katherine
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
[Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison]
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Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison
At the 21st session of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC, COP21), a
voluntary action plan, the ‘4 per 1000 Initiative: Soils for Food Security and Climate’ was proposed under the Agenda for Action. The Initiative underlines the role of soil organic matter (SOM) in ...
Soussana, Jean-François
,
Lutfalla, Suzanne
,
Ehrhardt, Fiona
,
Rosenstock, Todd S.
,
Lamanna, Christine
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Richards, Meryl
,
Wollenberg, Eva K.
,
Chotte, Jean-Luc
,
Torquebiau, Emmanuel F.
,
Ciais, Philippe
,
Smith, Pete
,
Lal, Rattan
,
[Matching policy and science: Rationale for the ‘4 per 1000 - soils for food security and climate’ initiative]
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Matching policy and science: Rationale for the ‘4 per 1000 - soils for food security and climate’ initiative
Understanding the capacity of agricultural systems to feed the world population under climate change requires projecting future food demand. This article reviews demand modeling approaches from 10 global economic models participating in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Proje...
Valin, Hugo
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Blanc, Elodie
,
Bodirsky, Benjamin L.
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Paltsev S
,
Rolinski S
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Lampe M. von
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
[The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models]
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The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models
The climate change research community’s shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) are a set of alternative global development scenarios focused on mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. To use these scenarios as a global context that is relevant for policy guidance at regional and national le...
Palazzo, Amanda
,
Vervoort, Joost M.
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Rutting, Lucas
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Islam, Shahnila
,
Bayala, Jules
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Kadi Kadi, Hame A.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
[Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context]
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Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context
The authors discuss the main climate change impacts on pastoralist societies,
including those on rangelands, livestock and other natural resources, and their
extended repercussions on food security, incomes and vulnerability. The impacts of
climate change on the rangelands of the globe and on the...
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Addison, Jane
,
Bedelian, Claire
,
Carabine, Elizabeth
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Henderson, Benjamin B.
,
Steeg, Jeannette van de
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
[Le changement climatique et le pastoralisme : effets, conséquences et adaptation, Cambio climático y pastoreo: efectos directos, repercusiones y adaptación]
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[Climate change and pastoralism: impacts, consequences and adaptation]
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Climate change and pastoralism: impacts, consequences and adaptation