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Climate warming affects permafrost soil carbon pools in two opposing ways: enhanced vegetation growth leads to higher carbon inputs to the soil, whereas permafrost melting accelerates decomposition and hence carbon release. Here, we study the spatial and temporal dynamics of these two processes u...


Schaphoff, S.Heyder, U.Ostberg, S.Gerten, D.Heinke, J.Lucht, W.[Contribution of permafrost soils to the global carbon budget]Contribution of permafrost soils to the global carbon budget

This modelling study demonstrates at what level of global mean temperature rise. (∆Tg) regions will be exposed to significant decreases of freshwater availability and changes to terrestrial ecosystems. Projections are based on a new, consistent set of 152 climate scenarios (eight ∆Tg trajectories...


Gerten, D.Lucht, W.Ostberg, S.Heinke, J.Kowarsch, M.Kreft, H.Kundzewicz, Z.W.Rastgooy, J.Warren, R.Schellnhuber, H.J.[Asynchronous exposure to global warming: Freshwater resources and terrestrial ecosystems]Asynchronous exposure to global warming: Freshwater resources and terrestrial ecosystems

The planetary boundaries framework defines a safe operating space for humanity based on the intrinsic biophysical processes that regulate the stability of the Earth System. Here, we revise and update the planetary boundaries framework, with a focus on the underpinning biophysical science, based o...


Steffen, W.Richardson, K.Rockström, JohanCornell, S.E.Fetzer, I.Bennett, Elena M.Biggs, R.Carpenter, Stephen R.Vries, W. deWit, C.A. deFolke, C.Gerten, D.Heinke, J.Mace, G.M.Persson, L.M.Ramanathan, V.Reyers, B.Sorlin, S.[Planetary boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet]Planetary boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet

In the ongoing political debate on climate change, global mean temperature change (∆Tglob) has become the yardstick by which mitigation costs, impacts from unavoided climate change, and adaptation requirements are discussed. For a scientifically informed discourse along these lines, systematic a...


Heinke, J.Ostberg, S.Schaphoff, S.Frieler, K.Muller, C.Gerten, D.Meinshausen, M.Lucht, W.[A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming]A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming

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