Agricultural development in sub-Saharan Africa faces daunting challenges, which climate change and increasing climate variability will compound in vulnerable areas. The impacts of a changing climate on agricultural production in a world that warms by 4°C or more are likely to be severe in places....
Thornton, Philip K.
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Jones, Peter G.
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Ericksen, Polly J.
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Challinor, Andrew J.
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[Agriculture and food systems in sub-Saharan Africa in a 4°C+ world]
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Agriculture and food systems in sub-Saharan Africa in a 4°C+ world
Thornton, Philip K.
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Jones, Peter G.
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Farrow, Andrew
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Alagarswamy, G.
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Andresen, J.
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[Crop yield response to climate change in East Africa: comparing highlands and lowlands]
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Crop yield response to climate change in East Africa: comparing highlands and lowlands
The world’s climate is continuing to change at rates that are projected to be unprecedented in recent human history. Some models are now indicating that the temperature increases to 2100 may be larger than previously estimated in 2001. The impacts of climate change are likely to be considerable i...
Thornton, Philip K.
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Jones, Peter G.
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Owiyo, T.
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Kruska, R.L.
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Herrero, Mario T.
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Kristjanson, Patricia M.
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Notenbaert, An Maria Omer
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Bekele, N.
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Omolo, Abisalom
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[Mapping climate vulnerability and poverty in Africa]
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Mapping climate vulnerability and poverty in Africa
There is general consensus that the impacts of climate change on agriculture will add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty, particularly in Africa. It is often assumed that these changes will influence agriculture at a broad scale, such that r...
Thornton, Philip K.
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Farrow, Andrew
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Jones, Peter G.
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[The temporal dynamics of crop yield responses to climate change in East Africa]
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The temporal dynamics of crop yield responses to climate change in East Africa
Climate change science has been discussed and synthesized by the world's best minds at unprecedented scales. Now that the Kyoto Protocol may become a reality, it is time to be realistic about the likelihood of success of mitigation activities. Pastoral lands in the tropics hold tremendous sequest...
Reid, Robin S.
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Thornton, Philip K.
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McCrabb, G.J.
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Kruska, R.L.
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Atieno, F.
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Jones, Peter G.
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[Is it possible to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in pastoral ecosystems of the tropics?]
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Is it possible to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in pastoral ecosystems of the tropics?
Making decisions in natural resource management involves an understanding of the risk and uncertainty of the outcomes, such as crop failure or cattle starvation, and of the normal spread of the expected production. Hedging against poor outcomes often means lack of investment and slow adoption of ...
Jones, Peter G.
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Thornton, Philip K.
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[Spatial modeling of risk in natural resource management]
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Spatial modeling of risk in natural resource management
Climate change science has been discussed and synthesized by the world's best minds at unprecedented scales. Now that the Kyoto Protocol may become a reality, it is time to be realistic about the likelihood of success of mitigation activities. Pastoral lands in the tropics hold tremendous sequest...
Reid, Robin S.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
McCrabb, G.J.
,
Kruska, R.L.
,
Atieno, F.
,
Jones, Peter G.
,
[Is it possible to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in pastoral ecosystems of the tropics?]
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Is it possible to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in pastoral ecosystems of the tropics?
Hyman, Glenn
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Hodson, D
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Jones, Peter G.
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[Spatial analysis to support geographic targeting of genotypes to environments]
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Spatial analysis to support geographic targeting of genotypes to environments
Agricultural modellers often need detailed soil profile data with which to run their models. We combine an extensive soil profile database with the Harmonized World Soil Database, a 30 arcsecond raster database of soil information worldwide, and describe a statistical process to identify represen...
Jones, Peter G.
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Thornton, Philip K.
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[Representative soil profiles for the Harmonized World Soil Database at different spatial resolutions for agricultural modelling applications]
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Representative soil profiles for the Harmonized World Soil Database at different spatial resolutions for agricultural modelling applications
The case for impending climate change is now proven. Governments can decide, by their action or inaction, to what extent the change will occur; the International Agriculture Research Community (IARC) will have no say in this whatsoever. It is up to the IARC to try to maintain objectives in the fa...
Jones, Peter G.
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Jarvis, Andy
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Hyman, Glenn
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Beebe, Stephen E.
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Pachico, Douglas H.
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[Climate proofing agricultual research investments]
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Climate proofing agricultual research investments