Many types of analysis require rainfall data, which must often be generated to overcome limitations in the historical record. The ability to model outlying rainfall years satisfactorily is particularly important in risk studies. We describe a rainfall generator with this ability, based on a third...
Jones, Peter G.
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Thornton, Philip K.
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[Spatial and temporal variability of rainfall related to a third-order Markov model]
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Spatial and temporal variability of rainfall related to a third-order Markov model
A dynamic agriucltural land-use model based on a Markov process and governed by a few simple decision rules is described. Currently, the model is purely conceptual, and was designed with one objective: to investigate the possibility of constructing top-down land-use models based on as few process...
A software package to generate daily weather data for Latin America and Africa is described. The program is based on a stochastic weather generator that uses a third-order Markov process to model daily weather data. The model has been fitted to data from more than 9200 stations with long runs of ...
Jones, Peter G.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
[MarkSim: Software to generate daily weather data for Latin America and Africa]
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MarkSim: Software to generate daily weather data for Latin America and Africa
The impacts of climate change on agriculture may add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty. We show the possible impacts on maize production in Africa and Latin America to 2055, using high-resolution methods to generate characteristic daily wea...
Jones, Peter G.
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Thornton, Philip K.
,
[The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055]
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The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055
A procedure to link a third-order Markov rainfall model to interpolated monthly mean climate surfaces is described. Such preliminary surfaces have been constructed for Africa and Latin America and these allow a user to generate daily weather data (rainfall, temperatures and solar radiation) that ...
Jones, Peter G.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
[Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces]
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Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces