Agricultural production is sensitive to weather and thus directly affected by climate change. Plausible estimates of these climate change impacts require combined use of climate, crop, and economic models. Results from previous studies vary substantially due to differences in models, scenarios, a...
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Deryng, Delphine
,
Elliott J
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Lampe M. von
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Müller, Christoph
,
Popp, Alexander
,
Robertson, Richard D.
,
Robinson, Sherman
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
[Climate change effects on agriculture: economic responses to biophysical shocks]
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Climate change effects on agriculture: economic responses to biophysical shocks
Land use is at the core of various sustainable development goals. Long-term climate foresight studies have structured their recent analyses around five socio-economic pathways (SSPs), with consistent storylines of future macroeconomic and societal developments; however, model quantification of th...
Stehfest, Elke
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Zeist, Willem-Jan van
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Havlik, Petr
,
Popp, Alexander
,
Kyle, Page
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Bodirsky, Benjamin L.
,
Calvin, Katherine
,
Doelman, Jonathan C
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Humpenöder, Florian
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Wiebe, Keith
,
[Key determinants of global land-use projections]
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Key determinants of global land-use projections
Bodirsky, Benjamin L.
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Popp, Alexander
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Dietrich, Jan Philipp
,
Rolinski, Susanne
,
Weindl, Isabelle
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Müller, Christoph
,
Bonsch, Markus
,
Humpenöder, Florian
,
Biewald, Anne
,
Stevanovic, Miodrag
,
[Reactive nitrogen requirements to feed the world in 2050 and potential to mitigate nitrogen pollution]
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Reactive nitrogen requirements to feed the world in 2050 and potential to mitigate nitrogen pollution
Trade-offs between livelihood and environmental outcomes due to agricultural intensification in sub-Saharan Africa are uncertain. The present study measured yield, economic performance and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions in African indigenous vegetable (AIV) production to investigate the optimal nu...
Kurgat, Barnabas K.
,
Stöber, Silke
,
Mwonga, Samuel
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Rosenstock, Todd S.
,
[Livelihood and climate trade-offs in Kenyan peri-urban vegetable production]
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Livelihood and climate trade-offs in Kenyan peri-urban vegetable production
Agriculture is unique among economic sectors in the nature of impacts from climate change. The production activity that transforms inputs into agricultural outputs involves direct use of weather inputs (temperature, solar radiation available to the plant, and precipitation). Previous studies of t...
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Blanc, Elodie
,
Calvin, Katherine
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Lampe M. von
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Müller, Christoph
,
Reilly J
,
Robertson, Richard D.
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Takahashi, K.
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
[Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree]
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Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree
Recent studies assessing plausible futures for agricultural markets and global food security have had contradictory outcomes. To advance our understanding of the sources of the differences, 10 global economic models that produce long-term scenarios were asked to compare a reference scenario with ...
Lampe M. von
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Blanc, Elodie
,
Cai, Yongxia
,
Calvin, Katherine
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
[Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison]
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Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison
Agriculture is a key driver of change in the Anthropocene. It is both a critical factor for human well-being and development and a major driver of environmental decline. As the human population expands to more than 9 billion by 2050, we will be compelled to find ways to adequately feed this popul...
Bennett, B.
,
Carpenter, Stephen R.
,
Gordon LJ
,
Ramankutty N
,
Balvanera, Patricia
,
Campbell, Bruce M.
,
Cramer, W.
,
Foley, Jon
,
Folke, C.
,
Karlberg, L.
,
Liu J
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Mueller ND
,
Peterson GD
,
Polasky S
,
Rockström, Johan
,
Scholes, Robert J.
,
Spierenburg, M.
,
[Toward a more resilient agriculture]
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Toward a more resilient agriculture
Integrated Assessment studies have shown that meeting ambitious greenhouse gas mitigation targets will require substantial amounts of bioenergy as part of the future energy mix. In the course of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP), five global agro-economic mode...
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Kyle, Page
,
Lampe M. von
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Popp, Alexander
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
Wise, Marshall
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
[Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: an AgMIP economic model intercomparison]
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Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: an AgMIP economic model intercomparison