Land use is at the core of various sustainable development goals. Long-term climate foresight studies have structured their recent analyses around five socio-economic pathways (SSPs), with consistent storylines of future macroeconomic and societal developments; however, model quantification of th...
Stehfest, Elke
,
Zeist, Willem-Jan van
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Havlik, Petr
,
Popp, Alexander
,
Kyle, Page
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Bodirsky, Benjamin L.
,
Calvin, Katherine
,
Doelman, Jonathan C
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Humpenöder, Florian
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Wiebe, Keith
,
[Key determinants of global land-use projections]
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Key determinants of global land-use projections
Trade-offs between livelihood and environmental outcomes due to agricultural intensification in sub-Saharan Africa are uncertain. The present study measured yield, economic performance and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions in African indigenous vegetable (AIV) production to investigate the optimal nu...
Kurgat, Barnabas K.
,
Stöber, Silke
,
Mwonga, Samuel
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Rosenstock, Todd S.
,
[Livelihood and climate trade-offs in Kenyan peri-urban vegetable production]
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Livelihood and climate trade-offs in Kenyan peri-urban vegetable production
Recent studies assessing plausible futures for agricultural markets and global food security have had contradictory outcomes. To advance our understanding of the sources of the differences, 10 global economic models that produce long-term scenarios were asked to compare a reference scenario with ...
Lampe M. von
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Blanc, Elodie
,
Cai, Yongxia
,
Calvin, Katherine
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
[Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison]
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Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison
Agriculture is a key driver of change in the Anthropocene. It is both a critical factor for human well-being and development and a major driver of environmental decline. As the human population expands to more than 9 billion by 2050, we will be compelled to find ways to adequately feed this popul...
Bennett, B.
,
Carpenter, Stephen R.
,
Gordon LJ
,
Ramankutty N
,
Balvanera, Patricia
,
Campbell, Bruce M.
,
Cramer, W.
,
Foley, Jon
,
Folke, C.
,
Karlberg, L.
,
Liu J
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Mueller ND
,
Peterson GD
,
Polasky S
,
Rockström, Johan
,
Scholes, Robert J.
,
Spierenburg, M.
,
[Toward a more resilient agriculture]
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Toward a more resilient agriculture