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Successful implementation of major projects requires careful management of uncertainty and risk. Yet such uncertainty is rarely effectively calculated when analysing project costs and benefits. This paper presents a Bayesian Network (BN) modelling framework to calculate the costs, benefits, and r...


Yet, BarbarosConstantinou, AnthonyFenton, NormanNeil, MartinLuedeling, EikeShepherd, Keith D.[A Bayesian network framework for project cost, benefit and risk analysis with an agricultural development case study]A Bayesian network framework for project cost, benefit and risk analysis with an agricultural development case study
Shepherd, Keith D.Hubbard, D.Fenton, N.Claxton, K.Luedeling, EikeLeeuw, Jan de[Development goals should enable decision-making.]Development goals should enable decision-making.

In the arid areas of Sub-Saharan Africa, perennial challenges of water scarcity and food insecurity are exacerbated by climate change and variability. The development of robust strategies to cope with the region's climatic challenges requires thorough consideration of uncertainty and risk in deci...


Lanzanova, DenisWhitney, CoryShepherd, KeithLuedeling, Eike[Improving development efficiency through decision analysis: reservoir protection in Burkina Faso]Improving development efficiency through decision analysis: reservoir protection in Burkina Faso

Climate change has affected the rates of chilling and heat accumulation, which are vital for flowering and production, in temperate fruit trees, but few studies have been conducted in the cold-winter climates of East Asia. To evaluate tree responses to variation in chill and heat accumulation rat...


Guo LDai, J.Ranjitkar SYu HXu, JianchuLuedeling, Eike[Chilling and heat requirements for flowering in temperate fruit trees]Chilling and heat requirements for flowering in temperate fruit trees

Shortening of the growing season despite a longer thermally favorable period implies that vegetation on the Tibetan Plateau is unable to exploit additional thermal resources availed by climate change. Ecosystem composition may no longer be well attuned to the local temperature regime, which has c...


Yu HXu, JianchuOkuto ELuedeling, Eike[Seasonal response of grasslands to climate change on the Tibetan plateau]Seasonal response of grasslands to climate change on the Tibetan plateau

Irrigation plays a significant role in achieving food and nutrition security in dry regions. However, detailed ex-ante appraisals of irrigation development investments are required to efficiently allocate resources and optimize returns on investment. Due to the inherent system complexity and unce...


Yigzaw, NegusseMburu, JohnAckello-Ogutu, ChrisWhitney, CoryLuedeling, Eike[Stochastic impact evaluation of an irrigation development intervention in Northern Ethiopia]Stochastic impact evaluation of an irrigation development intervention in Northern Ethiopia

This data article provides the datasets that are used in the holistic ex-ante impact evaluation of an irrigation dam construction project in Northern Ethiopia [1]. We used an expert knowledge elicitation approach as a means of acquiring the data. The data shared here captures all the parameters c...


Yigzaw, NegusseMburu, JohnOgutu, Chris AckelloWhitney, CoryLuedeling, Eike[Data for the evaluation of irrigation development interventions in Northern Ethiopia]Data for the evaluation of irrigation development interventions in Northern Ethiopia

The tree rhododendrons include the most widely distributed Himalayan Rhododendron species belonging to the subsection Arborea. Distributions of two members of this sub-species were modelled using bioclimatic data for current conditions (1950–2000). A subset of the least correlated bioclimatic var...


Ranjitkar SKindt, RoelandSujakhu NMHart RGuo WYang XShrestha, Krishna K.Xu, JianchuLuedeling, Eike[Separation of the bioclimatic spaces of Himalayan tree rhododendron species predicted by ensemble suitability models]Separation of the bioclimatic spaces of Himalayan tree rhododendron species predicted by ensemble suitability models

On-farm tree diversity patterns result from a social-ecological process shaped by different actors. Farmer preferences, tree-site matching, seed dispersal, tree domestication and delivery via nurseries all play important roles in forming these patterns. As part of a wider interest in tree cover t...


Ordoñez, J.C.Luedeling, EikeKindt, RoelandTata HLHarja DJamnadass, Ramni H.Noordwijk, Meine van[Constraints and opportunities for tree diversity management along the forest transition curve to achieve multifunctional agriculture]Constraints and opportunities for tree diversity management along the forest transition curve to achieve multifunctional agriculture

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