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In this letter, we investigate the effects of crop yield and livestock feed efficiency scenarios on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture and land use change in developing countries. We analyze mitigation associated with different productivity pathways using the global partial equilibri...


Valin, HugoHavlík, PetrMosnier, AlineHerrero, Mario T.Schmid, ErwinObersteiner, Michael[Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions: Trade-offs or synergies between mitigation and food security?]Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions: Trade-offs or synergies between mitigation and food security?

Preservation of biodiversity and reduction of deforestation are considered as key elements when addressing an increased use of bioenergy in the future. This paper presents different combinations of scenarios for global feedstock supply for the production of bioenergy under specified social and en...


Kraxner, FlorianNordstrom, E.M.Havlík, PetrGusti, M.Mosnier, AlineFrank, S.Valin, HugoFritz, SteffenFuss, S.Kindermann, GeorgMcCallum, IanKhabarov, N.Böttcher, HannesSee, LindaAoki, K.Schmid, ErwinMathe, L.Obersteiner, Michael[Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs]Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs

Over the next decades mankind will demand more food from fewer land and water resources. This study quantifies the food production impacts of four alternative development scenarios from the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment and the Special Report on Emission Scenarios. Partially and jointly conside...


Schneider, UweHavlík, PetrSchmid, ErwinValin, HugoMosnier, AlineObersteiner, MichaelBöttcher, HannesSkalský, RastislavBalkovič, JurajSauer, TimmFritz, Steffen[Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption]Impacts of population growth, economic development, and technical change on global food production and consumption

We investigate the impacts of the U.S. renewable fuel standard (RFS2) and several alternative biofuel policy designs on global GHG emissions from land use change and agriculture over the 2010-2030 horizon. Analysis of the scenarios relies on GLOBIOM, a global, multi-sectoral economic model based ...


Mosnier, AlineHavlík, PetrValin, HugoBaker, J.Murray, B.Feng, S.Obersteiner, MichaelMcCarl, B.A.Rose, S.K.Schneider, U.A.[Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth]Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth

Fritz, SteffenSee, LindaMcCallum, IanYou, LiangzhiBun AMoltchanova EDuerauer, MAlbrecht, F.Schill CPerger CHavlík, PetrMosnier, AlineThornton, Philip K.Wood-Sichra, U.Herrero, Mario T.Becker-Reshef, InbalJustice, ChrisHansen, MatthewGong, PengAbdel Aziz, ShetaCiprián, ArsenioCumani, RenatoCecchi, G.Conchedda, G.Ferreira SGómez, A.Haffani MKayitakire, FrancoisMalanding, JMueller RNewby TNonguierma AOlusegun AOrtner SRajak RRocha JSchepaschenko DSchepaschenko MTerekhov ATiangwa, A.Vancutsem CVintrou EWenbin WVelde, M. van derDunwoody, A.Kraxner, FlorianObersteiner, Michael[Mapping global cropland and field size]Mapping global cropland and field size

This paper conducts an integrated assessment of climate change impacts and climate mitigation on agricultural commodity markets and food availability in low- and middle-income countries. The analysis uses the partial equilibrium model GLOBIOM to generate scenarios to 2080. The findings show that ...


Havlík, PetrValin, HugoGusti MSchmid, ErwinLeclere DForsell NHerrero, Mario T.Khabarov, N.Mosnier, AlineCantele MObersteiner, Michael[Climate change impacts and mitigation in the developing world: an integrated assessment of the agriculture and forestry sectors]Climate change impacts and mitigation in the developing world: an integrated assessment of the agriculture and forestry sectors

The expansion of biofuel production can lead to an array of negative environmental impacts. Therefore, the European Union (EU) has recently imposed sustainability criteria on biofuel production in the Renewable Energy Directive (RED). In this article, we analyse the effectiveness of the sustainab...


Frank, S.Böttcher, HannesHavlík, PetrValin, HugoMosnier, AlineObersteiner, MichaelSchmid, ErwinElbersen, B.[How effective are the sustainability criteria accompanying the European Union 2020 biofuel targets?]How effective are the sustainability criteria accompanying the European Union 2020 biofuel targets?

The livestock sector accounts for 30% of global land area and is a major driver of land use change (Geist and Lambin 2002). Steinfeld et al (2006) calculated that deforestation due to the expansion of pasture and feed crops was responsible for 8% of total anthropogenic Co2 emissions. In addition,...


Havlík, PetrValin, HugoMosnier, AlineObersteiner, MichaelBaker, J.S.Herrero, Mario T.Rufino, Mariana C.Schmid, Erwin[Crop productivity and the global livestock sector: Implications for land use change and greenhouse gas emissions]Crop productivity and the global livestock sector: Implications for land use change and greenhouse gas emissions

Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation poli...


Havlík, PetrValin, HugoHerrero, Mario T.Obersteiner, MichaelSchmid, ErwinRufino, Mariana C.Mosnier, AlineThornton, Philip K.Böttcher, HannesConant, Richard T.Frank, S.Fritz, SteffenFuss, S.Kraxner, FlorianNotenbaert, An Maria Omer[Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions]Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions

Agriculture is the single largest source of anthropogenic non-carbon dioxide (non-CO2) emissions. Reaching the climate target of the Paris Agreement will require significant emission reductions across sectors by 2030 and continued efforts thereafter. Here we show that the economic potential of no...


Frank, StefanBeach, Robert H.Havlík, PetrValin, HugoHerrero, Mario T.Mosnier, AlineHasegawa, TomokoCreason, JaredRagnauth, ShaunObersteiner, Michael[Structural change as a key component for agricultural non-CO2 mitigation efforts]Structural change as a key component for agricultural non-CO2 mitigation efforts

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