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CASCADE project “Ecosystem-based Adaptation for smallholder Subsistence and Coffee Farming Communities in Central America”
The gridded yearly climate data (5-year moving averages) were developed from weather station observations (from IDEAM and Cenicafe) for the period 1980 to 2010, at 500 m spatial resolution, for monthly precipitation, monthly minimum temperature and maximum temperature, following the method of Hij...
We used 500m gridded historical and future climate surfaces for Risaralda, Colombia and coffee presences and absences to train species distribution models (suitability). Five methods were used: Generalized Boosting Model (GBM) (Friedman, 2001), Random Forest (RF) (Breiman, 2001), Maxent (Phillips...
We developed a global dataset of downscaled future projections developed by applying a statistical method for climate model downscaling and bias correction. To develop the dataset, we applied the delta method, which comprises the sum of interpolated anomalies of each GCM to the WorldClim 1-km spa...
Coffee is grown in more than 60 tropical countries on over 11 million ha by an estimated 25 million farmers, most of whom are smallholders. Several regional studies demonstrate the climate sensitivity of coffee (Coffea arabica) and the likely impact of climate change on coffee suitability, yield,...
Climate change will cause geographic range shifts for pollinators and major crops, with global implications for food security and rural livelihoods. However, little is known about the potential for coupled impacts of climate change on pollinators and crops. Coffee production exemplifies this issu...
This chapter provides an overview of predicted global climate change, placing special emphasis on the implications for agriculture. The power of modelling for understanding both impacts on productivity and adaptation options is demonstrated. The models on agricultural production for 50 crops pred...
Research into the origins of food plants has led to the recognition that specific geographical regions around the world have been of particular importance to the development of agricultural crops. Yet the relative contributions of these different regions in the context of current food systems hav...
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