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Climate change is expected to impact global food supply and food security by affecting growing conditions for agricultural production. Process-based dynamic growth models are important tools to estimate crop yields based on minimum inputs of climate, soil, crop management, and crop cultivar param...


Gbegbelegbe, SikaCammarano, DavideAsseng, SentholdRobertson, R.Chung, U.Adam, M.Abdalla, O.Payne, T.Reynolds, Matthew P.Sonder, KaiShiferaw, B.Nelson, Gerald C.[Baseline simulation for global wheat production with CIMMYTmega-environment specific cultivars]Baseline simulation for global wheat production with CIMMYTmega-environment specific cultivars

The projected changes in planted area, yield per area, net exports/imports and prices for five major agricultural crops in South Africa were simulated using the projections of four Global Circulation Models (GCMs) under three socio-economic scenarios. The GCM projections show consistent strong wa...


Dube, SikhalazoScholes, Robert J.Nelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[South African Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures]South African Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures

Global climate change presents long-term risks to agriculture. In general, global climate change is expected to positively affect Russian agriculture. In high and middle latitudes, global warming would expand the growing season. Acreages of agricultural crops may expand toward the north, although...


Kiselev SRomashkin RNelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future]Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future

Understanding the capacity of agricultural systems to feed the world population under climate change requires projecting future food demand. This article reviews demand modeling approaches from 10 global economic models participating in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Proje...


Valin, HugoSands, Ronald D.Mensbrugghe, Dominique van derNelson, Gerald C.Ahammad, H.Blanc, ElodieBodirsky, Benjamin L.Fujimori, ShinichiroHasegawa, TomokoHavlík, PetrHeyhoe, EdwinaKyle, PageMason-D'Croz, DanielPaltsev SRolinski STabeau, AndrzejMeijl, Hans vanLampe M. vonWillenbockel, Dirk[The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models]The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models

Information about the global structure of agriculture and nutrient production and its diversity is essential to improve present understanding of national food production patterns, agricultural livelihoods, and food chains, and their linkages to land use and their associated ecosystems services. H...


Herrero, Mario T.Thornton, Philip K.Power, B.Bogard, Jessica R.Remans, R.Fritz, S.Gerber, James SNelson, Gerald C.See, L.Waha, K.Watson, R.A.West, Paul C.Samberg, L.H.Steeg, Jeannette van deStephenson, E.Wijk, Mark T. vanHavlík, Petr[Farming and the geography of nutrient production for human use: a transdisciplinary analysis]Farming and the geography of nutrient production for human use: a transdisciplinary analysis

Agriculture and food security are key sectors for intervention under climate change. Agricultural production is highly vulnerable even to 2C (low-end) predictions for global mean temperatures in 2100, with major implications for rural poverty and for both rural and urban food security. Agricultur...


Vermeulen, Sonja J.Aggarwal, Pramod K.Ainslie, A.Angelone, C.Campbell, Bruce M.Challinor, Andrew J.Hansen, JamesIngram, J.S.I.Jarvis, AndyKristjanson, Patricia M.Lau, CharlotteNelson, Gerald C.Thornton, Philip K.Wollenberg, Eva K.[Options for support to agriculture and food security under climate change]Options for support to agriculture and food security under climate change

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