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The projected changes in planted area, yield per area, net exports/imports and prices for five major agricultural crops in South Africa were simulated using the projections of four Global Circulation Models (GCMs) under three socio-economic scenarios. The GCM projections show consistent strong wa...


Dube, SikhalazoScholes, Robert J.Nelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[South African Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures]South African Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures

Global climate change presents long-term risks to agriculture. In general, global climate change is expected to positively affect Russian agriculture. In high and middle latitudes, global warming would expand the growing season. Acreages of agricultural crops may expand toward the north, although...


Kiselev SRomashkin RNelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future]Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future

Understanding the capacity of agricultural systems to feed the world population under climate change requires projecting future food demand. This article reviews demand modeling approaches from 10 global economic models participating in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Proje...


Valin, HugoSands, Ronald D.Mensbrugghe, Dominique van derNelson, Gerald C.Ahammad, H.Blanc, ElodieBodirsky, Benjamin L.Fujimori, ShinichiroHasegawa, TomokoHavlík, PetrHeyhoe, EdwinaKyle, PageMason-D'Croz, DanielPaltsev SRolinski STabeau, AndrzejMeijl, Hans vanLampe M. vonWillenbockel, Dirk[The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models]The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models

Given limited resources, adaptation strategies must target those populations most vulnerable to global change and equip those unable to adapt—generally the poorest—with the tools and incentives that will enable them to do so. ASARECA has recently carried out a study to enhance the understanding o...


Nzuma JMWaithaka, MichaelMbithi Mulwa RKyotalimye, MiriamNelson, Gerald C.[Strategies for adapting to climate change in rural Sub-Saharan Africa]Strategies for adapting to climate change in rural Sub-Saharan Africa

The first decade of the 21st century has brought harbingers of a troubled future for global food security. The food-price spike of 2008 led to food riots and political change in several countries. In 2010, the excessive heat and drought in Russia that led to wildfires and a grain embargo, as well...


Nelson, Gerald C.Rosegrant, Mark W.Palazzo, AmandaGray IIngersoll CRobertson, Richard D.Tokgoz SZhu, T.Sulser TBRingler, ClaudiaMsangi SYou, Liangzhi[Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050: challenges to 2050 and beyond]Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050: challenges to 2050 and beyond

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