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Populations of many wild ungulate species in Africa are in decline largely because of land-use changes and other human activities. Analyses that document these declines and advance our understanding of their underlying causes are fundamental to effective management and conservation of wild ungula...


Ogutu, Joseph O.Owen-Smith, N.Piepho, Hans-PeterSaid, Mohammed Yahya[Continuing wildlife population declines and range contraction in the Mara region of Kenya during 1977-2009]Continuing wildlife population declines and range contraction in the Mara region of Kenya during 1977-2009

Understanding long-term climatic variability is basic to wise management and conservation of biodiversity. We analysed temporal variations in the local rainfall, temperature, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and the hemispheric El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), using the Southern Oscilla...


Ogutu, Joseph O.Piepho, Hans-PeterDublin, H.T.Bhola, N.Reid, S.[El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem]El Niño-Southern Oscillation, rainfall, temperature and normalized difference vegetation index fluctuations in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem

This paper considers inference for the break point in the segmented regression or piece-wise regression model. Standard likelihood theory does not apply because the break point is absent under the null hypothesis. We use results by DAVIES for this type of non-standard set-up [Biometrika 64 (1977)...


Piepho, Hans-PeterOgutu, Joseph O.[Inference for the break point in segmented regression with application to longitudinal data]Inference for the break point in segmented regression with application to longitudinal data

In high temperate latitudes, ungulates generally give birth within a narrow time window when conditions are optimal for offspring survival in spring or early summer, and use changing photoperiod to time conceptions so as to anticipate these conditions. However, in low tropical latitudes day lengt...


Ogutu, Joseph O.Owen-Smith, N.Piepho, Hans-Peter[How rainfall variation influences reproductive patterns of African Savanna ungulates in an equatorial region where photoperiod variation is absent]How rainfall variation influences reproductive patterns of African Savanna ungulates in an equatorial region where photoperiod variation is absent

Bedelian, ClaireOgutu, Joseph O.[Trade-offs for climate-resilient pastoral livelihoods in wildlife conservancies in the Mara Ecosystem, Kenya: Small Grants Programme]Trade-offs for climate-resilient pastoral livelihoods in wildlife conservancies in the Mara Ecosystem, Kenya: Small Grants Programme

Sustaining wildlife and pastoral communities in savannas worldwide depends on understanding how landscapes provide for their needs. The composite effects of multiple forces shape herbivore distribution in savannas. We propose a model describing the distribution of animal density along two resourc...


Ogutu, Joseph O.Piepho, Hans-PeterReid, Robin S.Rainy, M.E.Kruska, R.L.Worden, J.S.Nyabenge, M.Hobbs, N.T.[Large herbivore responses to water and settlements in savannas]Large herbivore responses to water and settlements in savannas

The common hippopotamus Hippopotamus amphibius can significantly influence the dynamics of ecosystems and engender serious conflicts with people but, in Kenya, one of the species strongholds, it has been little studied or monitored. We surveyed the hippopotamus population in the Masai Mara Nation...


Kanga, E.M.Ogutu, Joseph O.Olff, H.Santema, P.[Population trend and distribution of the Vulnerable common hippopotamus Hippopotamus amphibius in the Mara Region of Kenya]Population trend and distribution of the Vulnerable common hippopotamus Hippopotamus amphibius in the Mara Region of Kenya

Contraction of their historic geographic ranges and conflicts with humans underpins declines in large carnivore populations worldwide. These declines, which characterize pastoral systems where carnivores, people and livestock live in close contact, may be paralleled by changes in carnivore behavi...


Mogensen, N.L.Ogutu, Joseph O.Dabelsteen, T.[The effects of pastoralism and protection on lion behaviour, demography and space use in the Mara Region of Kenya]The effects of pastoralism and protection on lion behaviour, demography and space use in the Mara Region of Kenya

Bhola, N.Ogutu, Joseph O.Said, Mohammed YahyaPiepho, Hans-PeterOlff, H.[The distribution of large herbivore hotspots in relation to environmental and anthropogenic correlates in the Mara region of Kenya]The distribution of large herbivore hotspots in relation to environmental and anthropogenic correlates in the Mara region of Kenya

Spatially explicit models are becoming increasingly important tools for simulating land-use change. In this study, we formulated and tested models that incorporated spatial correlates of agricultural expansion and used them to predict local- and landscape-scale patterns of agricultural land-use c...


Msoffe, F.U.Said, Mohammed YahyaOgutu, Joseph O.Kifugo, S.C.Leeuw, Jan deGardingen, P. vanReid, Robin S.[Spatial correlates of land-use changes in the Maasai-Steppe of Tanzania: Implications for conservation and environmental planning]Spatial correlates of land-use changes in the Maasai-Steppe of Tanzania: Implications for conservation and environmental planning

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