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Climate change is now affecting agriculture and food production in every country of the world. Here the authors present the IMPACT model results on yield, production, and net trade of major crops in China, and on daily calorie availability as an overall indicator of food security under climate ch...


Ye LTang HWu, WenliangYang PNelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures]Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures

Decision-makers aiming to improve food security, livelihoods and resilience are faced with an uncertain future. To develop robust policies they need tools to explore the potential effects of uncertain climatic, socioeconomic, and environmental changes. Methods have been developed to use scenarios...


Mason-D'Croz, DanielVervoort, Joost M.Palazzo, AmandaIslam, ShahnilaLord SHelfgott, Ariella E.S.Havlík, PetrPeou RSassen MVeeger, MariekeSoesbergen, A. vanArnell, A.P.Stuch BArslan, A.Lipper, Leslie[Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia]Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia

Agreement is developing among agricultural scientists on the emerging inability of agriculture to meet growing global food demands. Changes in trends of weather conditions projected by global climate models will challenge physiological limits of crops and exacerbate the global food challenge by 2...


Takle ESGustafson DBeachy, Roger N.Nelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[US food security and climate change: agricultural futures]US food security and climate change: agricultural futures

Competition for land is increasing as a consequence of the growing demands for food and other commodities and the need to conserve biodiversity and ecosystem services. Land conversion and the intensification of current agricultural systems continues to lead to a loss of biodiversity and trade-off...


Soesbergen, A. vanArnell, A.P.Sassen MStuch BSchaldach RGöpel, J.Vervoort, Joost M.Mason-D'Croz, DanielIslam, ShahnilaPalazzo, Amanda[Exploring future agricultural development and biodiversity in Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi: a spatially explicit scenario-based assessment]Exploring future agricultural development and biodiversity in Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi: a spatially explicit scenario-based assessment

The projected changes in planted area, yield per area, net exports/imports and prices for five major agricultural crops in South Africa were simulated using the projections of four Global Circulation Models (GCMs) under three socio-economic scenarios. The GCM projections show consistent strong wa...


Dube, SikhalazoScholes, Robert J.Nelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[South African Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures]South African Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures

Global climate change presents long-term risks to agriculture. In general, global climate change is expected to positively affect Russian agriculture. In high and middle latitudes, global warming would expand the growing season. Acreages of agricultural crops may expand toward the north, although...


Kiselev SRomashkin RNelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future]Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future

The climate change research community’s shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) are a set of alternative global development scenarios focused on mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. To use these scenarios as a global context that is relevant for policy guidance at regional and national le...


Palazzo, AmandaVervoort, Joost M.Mason-D'Croz, DanielRutting, LucasHavlík, PetrIslam, ShahnilaBayala, JulesValin, HugoKadi Kadi, Hame A.Thornton, Philip K.[Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context]Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context

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