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The projected changes in planted area, yield per area, net exports/imports and prices for five major agricultural crops in South Africa were simulated using the projections of four Global Circulation Models (GCMs) under three socio-economic scenarios. The GCM projections show consistent strong wa...


Dube, SikhalazoScholes, Robert J.Nelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[South African Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures]South African Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures

Global climate change presents long-term risks to agriculture. In general, global climate change is expected to positively affect Russian agriculture. In high and middle latitudes, global warming would expand the growing season. Acreages of agricultural crops may expand toward the north, although...


Kiselev SRomashkin RNelson, Gerald C.Mason-D'Croz, DanielPalazzo, Amanda[Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future]Russia's food security and climate change: looking into the future

The climate change research community’s shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) are a set of alternative global development scenarios focused on mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. To use these scenarios as a global context that is relevant for policy guidance at regional and national le...


Palazzo, AmandaVervoort, Joost M.Mason-D'Croz, DanielRutting, LucasHavlík, PetrIslam, ShahnilaBayala, JulesValin, HugoKadi Kadi, Hame A.Thornton, Philip K.[Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context]Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context

The first decade of the 21st century has brought harbingers of a troubled future for global food security. The food-price spike of 2008 led to food riots and political change in several countries. In 2010, the excessive heat and drought in Russia that led to wildfires and a grain embargo, as well...


Nelson, Gerald C.Rosegrant, Mark W.Palazzo, AmandaGray IIngersoll CRobertson, Richard D.Tokgoz SZhu, T.Sulser TBRingler, ClaudiaMsangi SYou, Liangzhi[Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050: challenges to 2050 and beyond]Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050: challenges to 2050 and beyond

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