This Working Paper summarizes projected climate change impacts on livestock across
Africa, using a combination of literature review and some new results on the projected
impacts of climate change on the rangelands of Africa. Findings show that there are
many options that can help livestock keeper...
Jarvis, Andy
,
Ramírez Villegas, Julián
,
Zapata, E.
,
[The value of high quality geographic information on available genetic resources for adapting agriculture to climate change]
,
The value of high quality geographic information on available genetic resources for adapting agriculture to climate change
Ramírez Villegas, Julián
,
Köhler, Ann-Kristin
,
Challinor, Andrew J.
,
[Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations]
,
Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations
Increasing weather risks threaten agricultural production systems and food security across the world. Maintaining agricultural growth while minimizing climate shocks is crucial to building a resilient food production system and meeting developmental goals in vulnerable countries. Experts have pro...
Aggarwal, Pramod K.
,
Jarvis, Andy
,
Campbell, Bruce M.
,
Zougmoré, Robert B.
,
Khatri-Chhetri, Arun
,
Vermeulen, Sonja J.
,
Loboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana María
,
Sebastian, Leocadio S.
,
Kinyangi, James
,
Bonilla Findji, Osana
,
Radeny, Maren A.O.
,
Recha, John W.M.
,
Martínez Barón, Deissy
,
Ramírez Villegas, Julián
,
Huyer, Sophia
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
Wollenberg, Eva K.
,
Hansen, James
,
Álvarez Toro, Patricia
,
Aguilar-Ariza, Andrés
,
Arango-Londoño, David
,
Patiño-Bravo, Victor
,
Rivera, Ovidio
,
Ouédraogo, Mathieu
,
Yen, Bui Tan
,
[The climate-smart village approach: framework of an integrative strategy for scaling up adaptation options in agriculture]
,
The climate-smart village approach: framework of an integrative strategy for scaling up adaptation options in agriculture
We present a framework for prioritizing adaptation approaches at a range of timeframes. The framework is illustrated by four case studies from developing countries, each with associated characterization of uncertainty. Two cases on near-term adaptation planning in Sri Lanka and on stakeholder sce...
Vermeulen, Sonja J.
,
Challinor, Andrew J.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
Campbell, Bruce M.
,
Eriyagama, Nishadi
,
Vervoort, Joost M.
,
Kinyangi, James
,
Jarvis, Andy
,
Läderach, Peter
,
Ramírez Villegas, Julián
,
Nicklin, K.J.
,
Hawkins, E.
,
Smith, D.R.
,
[Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture]
,
Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture
Projections of the response of crop yield to climate change at different spatial scales are known to vary. However, understanding of the causes of systematic differences across scale is limited. Here, we hypothesize that heterogeneous cropping intensity is one source of scale dependency. Analysis...
Challinor, Andrew J.
,
Parkes B
,
Ramírez Villegas, Julián
,
[Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity]
,
Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity
Planning robust climate-smart development programs can be done today with existing information.
We propose a risk-household-option modeling approach to address household food security under climate change in Africa.
Through a case study in Niger, we demonstrate that prioritizing CSA is possible b...
Lamanna, Christine
,
Ramírez Villegas, Julián
,
Wijk, Mark T. van
,
Corner-Dolloff, Caitlin
,
Girvetz, Evan H.
,
Rosenstock, Todd S.
,
[Evidence- and risk-based planning for food security under climate change]
,
Evidence- and risk-based planning for food security under climate change
With the recent and rapid spread of ecological niche modeling (ENM) and geographic information systems (GIS), the need for a detailed dataset of environmental characterization has increased substantially. The creation of the WorldClim dataset (Hijmans et al., 2005, available at http://www.worldcl...
Ramírez Villegas, Julián
,
Bueno Cabrera, Aaron
,
[Working with climate data and niche modeling: I. Creation of bioclimatic variables]
,
Working with climate data and niche modeling: I. Creation of bioclimatic variables
There has been significant scientific discord over what the best resolution for forecasting the impacts of climate change on agriculture and biodiversity is. Several researchers (particularly climatic researchers) state that original GCM (General Circulation Model) resolution should be kept in or...
Ramírez Villegas, Julián
,
Jarvis, Andy
,
[Downscaling Global Circulation Model Outputs: The Delta Method Decision and Policy Analysis Working Paper No. 1]
,
Downscaling Global Circulation Model Outputs: The Delta Method Decision and Policy Analysis Working Paper No. 1
Climate change will likely have significant impacts on the agricultural sector in Colombia, which accounts for over one-tenth of the country’s GDP and employs over one-fifth of its population. Analyses indicate that by 2050, there will likely be significant temperature rises, more erratic precipi...