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This chapter provides an overview of global climate models and their predictions for climate through the 21st century. The review examines the scientific basis of global climate modeling, including the bases for uncertainty in future climate projections. A summary of the Special Report Emissions ...


Jarvis, AndyRamírez Villegas, JuliánAnderson, B.Leibing CAggarwal, Pramod K.[Scenarios of climate change within the context of agriculture]Scenarios of climate change within the context of agriculture

El documento "Experiencias de Adaptación al Cambio Climático en Ecosistemas de Montaña en los Andes del Norte", presenta una síntesis del taller convocado en Bogotá, Colombia, en febrero de 2009 por WWF, la Fundación Humedales, el Ministerio de Ambiente, Vivienda y Desarrollo Territorial y el Ins...


Jarvis, AndyZapata Caldas, E.Läderach, PeterRamírez Villegas, Julián[Incremento en la presión sobre los ecosistemas altoandinos por cambios en la adaptación de cultivos]Incremento en la presión sobre los ecosistemas altoandinos por cambios en la adaptación de cultivos

This chapter provides an overview of predicted global climate change, placing special emphasis on the implications for agriculture. The power of modelling for understanding both impacts on productivity and adaptation options is demonstrated. The models on agricultural production for 50 crops pred...


Jarvis, AndyRamírez Villegas, JuliánTapasco, JeimarNavarro-Racines, Carlos E.Peterson CAZapata Caldas, E.Fisher MJ[Are climate change adaptation and mitigation options eco-efficient?]Are climate change adaptation and mitigation options eco-efficient?

Läderach, PeterSchepp, KathleenRamírez Villegas, JuliánJarvis, AndyEitzinger, Anton[Impacto del cambio climatico para el cultivo de café en Nicaragua]Impacto del cambio climatico para el cultivo de café en Nicaragua

Global circulation models all forecast that climate change will increase mean temperatures and change precipitation regimes. As a result, traditional coffee growing regions may disappear and new regions may appear. At the same time, demand for high quality, responsibly sourced coffee continues to...


Läderach, PeterLundy, MarkJarvis, AndyRamírez Villegas, JuliánPérez PESchepp KEitzinger, Anton[Predicted impact of climate change on coffee-supply chains]Predicted impact of climate change on coffee-supply chains

Global warming and climate change is now perceived to be the greatest threat to agriculture production and food security in the 21st century. Nobel Prize winner, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) by means of the four assessment reports that have been released to date (IPCC 1990...


Mathur, P.N.Ramírez Villegas, JuliánJarvis, Andy[The impacts of climate change on tropical and subtropical horticultural production]The impacts of climate change on tropical and subtropical horticultural production

Luengas, E.Abril, A.Castro, J.C.González, L.N.Navarro, C.Giraldo, D.Ramírez Villegas, JuliánAndrade-Piedra, J.L.Kromann, P.Forbes, G.Ghul, A.Restrepo, S.[Modeling the correlation between late blight sporulation and climate variables to guide fungicide applications in Cundinamarca, Colombia.]Modeling the correlation between late blight sporulation and climate variables to guide fungicide applications in Cundinamarca, Colombia.

The analogues approach, developed by CCAFS in R programming, is a novel way of supporting climate and crop models with on-the-ground empirical testing. In essence, the analogues tool connects sites with statistically similar (‘analogous’) climates, across space (i.e. between locations) and/or ...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánLau, CharlotteKöhler, Ann-KristinJarvis, AndyArnell, N.P.Osborne, Tom M.Hooker, Josh[Climate analogues: Finding tomorrow’s agriculture today]Climate analogues: Finding tomorrow’s agriculture today

Projections of the response of crop yield to climate change at different spatial scales are known to vary. However, understanding of the causes of systematic differences across scale is limited. Here, we hypothesize that heterogeneous cropping intensity is one source of scale dependency. Analysis...


Challinor, Andrew J.Parkes BRamírez Villegas, Julián[Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity]Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity

Climate change is expected to substantially reduce agricultural yields, as reported in the by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In Sub-Saharan Africa and (to a lesser extent) in South Asia, limited data availability and institutional networking constrain agricultural research ...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánChallinor, Andy[Assessing relevant climate data for agricultural applications]Assessing relevant climate data for agricultural applications

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