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Climate change has been projected to significantly affect agricultural productivity and hence food availability in the coming decades. The uncertainty associated with projecting climate change impacts is a barrier to agricultural adaptation. Despite uncertainty quantification becoming more promin...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánChallinor, Andrew J.[Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations]Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations

Increasing global CO2 emissions have profound consequences for plant biology, not least because of direct influences on carbon gain. However, much remains uncertain regarding how our major crops will respond to a future high CO2 world. Crop model inter-comparison studies have identified large unc...


Fodor, NándorChallinor, Andrew J.Droutsas, IoannisRamírez Villegas, JuliánZabel, FlorianKöhler, Ann-KristinFoyer, Christine H.[Integrating Plant Science and Crop Modeling: Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Soybean and Maize Production]Integrating Plant Science and Crop Modeling: Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Soybean and Maize Production

Ramírez Villegas, JuliánJarvis, Andy[Disaggregation of Global Circulation Model Outputs]Disaggregation of Global Circulation Model Outputs
Aggarwal, Pramod K.Jarvis, AndyCampbell, Bruce M.Zougmoré, Robert B.Khatri-Chhetri, ArunVermeulen, Sonja J.Loboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaSebastian, Leocadio S.Kinyangi, JamesBonilla Findji, OsanaRadeny, Maren A.O.Recha, John W.M.Martínez Barón, DeissyRamírez Villegas, JuliánHuyer, SophiaThornton, Philip K.Wollenberg, Eva K.Hansen, JamesÁlvarez Toro, PatriciaAguilar-Ariza, AndrésArango-Londoño, DavidPatiño-Bravo, VictorRivera, OvidioOuédraogo, MathieuYen, Bui Tan[The climate-smart village approach: framework of an integrative strategy for scaling up adaptation options in agriculture]The climate-smart village approach: framework of an integrative strategy for scaling up adaptation options in agriculture

With the recent and rapid spread of ecological niche modeling (ENM) and geographic information systems (GIS), the need for a detailed dataset of environmental characterization has increased substantially. The creation of the WorldClim dataset (Hijmans et al., 2005, available at http://www.worldcl...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánBueno Cabrera, Aaron[Working with climate data and niche modeling: I. Creation of bioclimatic variables]Working with climate data and niche modeling: I. Creation of bioclimatic variables

There has been significant scientific discord over what the best resolution for forecasting the impacts of climate change on agriculture and biodiversity is. Several researchers (particularly climatic researchers) state that original GCM (General Circulation Model) resolution should be kept in or...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánJarvis, Andy[Downscaling Global Circulation Model Outputs: The Delta Method Decision and Policy Analysis Working Paper No. 1]Downscaling Global Circulation Model Outputs: The Delta Method Decision and Policy Analysis Working Paper No. 1

Climate change will likely have significant impacts on the agricultural sector in Colombia, which accounts for over one-tenth of the country’s GDP and employs over one-fifth of its population. Analyses indicate that by 2050, there will likely be significant temperature rises, more erratic precipi...


Lau, CJarvis, AndyRamírez Villegas, Julián[Colombian agriculture: adapting to climate change]Colombian agriculture: adapting to climate change

Understanding how climate change can affect crop-pollinator systems helps predict potential geographical mismatches between a crop and its pollinators, and therefore identify areas vulnerable to loss of pollination services. We examined the distribution of orchard species (apples, pears, plums an...


Polce, ChiaraGarratt, Michael P.D.Termansen, MetteRamírez Villegas, JuliánChallinor, Andrew J.Lappage, Martin GBoatman, Nigel DCrowe, AndrewEndalew, Ayenew MelesePotts, Simon GSomerwill, Kate EBiesmeijer, Jacobus C.[Climate-driven spatial mismatches between British orchards and their pollinators: increased risks of pollination deficits]Climate-driven spatial mismatches between British orchards and their pollinators: increased risks of pollination deficits

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