Fungal diseases are major threats to the most important crops upon which humanity depends. Were there to be a major epidemic that severely reduced yields, its effects would spread throughout the globalized food system. To explore these ramifications, we use a partial equilibrium economic model of...
Godfray, H. Charles J.
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Robinson, Sherman
,
[Food system consequences of a fungal disease epidemic in a major crop]
,
Food system consequences of a fungal disease epidemic in a major crop
One of the most important consequences of climate change could be its effects on agriculture. Although much research has focused on questions of food security, less has been devoted to assessing the wider health impacts of future changes in agricultural production. In this modelling study, we est...
Springmann, Marco
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Robinson, Sherman
,
Garnett, Tara
,
Godfray, H. Charles J.
,
Gollin, Douglas
,
Rayner, Mike
,
Ballon, Paola
,
Scarborough, Peter
,
[Global and regional health effects of future food production under climate change: A modelling study]
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Global and regional health effects of future food production under climate change: A modelling study
Agricultural production is sensitive to weather and thus directly affected by climate change. Plausible estimates of these climate change impacts require combined use of climate, crop, and economic models. Results from previous studies vary substantially due to differences in models, scenarios, a...
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Deryng, Delphine
,
Elliott J
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Lampe M. von
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Müller, Christoph
,
Popp, Alexander
,
Robertson, Richard D.
,
Robinson, Sherman
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
[Climate change effects on agriculture: economic responses to biophysical shocks]
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Climate change effects on agriculture: economic responses to biophysical shocks
Analysis of climate change is often computationally burdensome. Here, we present an approach for intelligently selecting a sample of climates from a population of 6800 climates designed to represent the full distribution of likely climate outcomes out to 2050 for the Zambeze River Valley. Philoso...
This article compares the theoretical and functional specification of production in partial equilibrium (PE) and computable general equilibrium (CGE) models of the global agricultural and food system included in the AgMIP model comparison study. The two model families differ in their scope—partia...
Robinson, Sherman
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Masui T
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Wise, Marshall
,
Calvin, Katherine
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Kavallari, Aikaterini
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Dietrich, Jan Philipp
,
Lampe M. von
,
[Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system]
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Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system
This study links a multisectoral, regionalized, dynamic, computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of Ethiopia with a system country-specific hydrology, crop, road, and hydropower engineering models to simulate the economic impacts of climate change scenarios from global circulation models (GCMs...
Robinson, Sherman
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
Strzepek, K.M.
,
[A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia]
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A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia
The papers in this special issue represent some of the most comprehensive analyses of the implications of climate change for developing countries undertaken to date. The papers employ a bottoms-up systems approach whereby the implications of climate change are evaluated using structural models of...
Arndt, C.
,
Chinowsky, P.
,
Robinson, Sherman
,
Strzepek, K.M.
,
Tarp F
,
Thurlow, J.
,
[Economic development under climate change]
,
Economic development under climate change