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Even with global emissions of greenhouse gases drastically reduced in the coming years, the global annual average temperature is expected to be 2°C above pre-industrial levels by 2050. A 2°C warmer world will experience more intense rainfall and more frequent and more intense droughts, floods, he...


Margulis SNarain UChinowsky, P.Cretegny, L.Hughes GKirshen, P.Kuriakose ALange GMNelson, Gerald C.Neumann JNicholls RPandy KPrice JSchlosser ASchneider RSedjo RStrzepek, K.M.Sumaila RWard PWheeler D[Cost to developing countries of adapting to climate change: new methods and estimates]Cost to developing countries of adapting to climate change: new methods and estimates

Analysis of climate change is often computationally burdensome. Here, we present an approach for intelligently selecting a sample of climates from a population of 6800 climates designed to represent the full distribution of likely climate outcomes out to 2050 for the Zambeze River Valley. Philoso...


Arndt, C.Fant CRobinson, ShermanStrzepek, K.M.[Informed selection of future climates]Informed selection of future climates

This study links a multisectoral, regionalized, dynamic, computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of Ethiopia with a system country-specific hydrology, crop, road, and hydropower engineering models to simulate the economic impacts of climate change scenarios from global circulation models (GCMs...


Robinson, ShermanWillenbockel, DirkStrzepek, K.M.[A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia]A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia

The papers in this special issue represent some of the most comprehensive analyses of the implications of climate change for developing countries undertaken to date. The papers employ a bottoms-up systems approach whereby the implications of climate change are evaluated using structural models of...


Arndt, C.Chinowsky, P.Robinson, ShermanStrzepek, K.M.Tarp FThurlow, J.[Economic development under climate change]Economic development under climate change

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