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Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation poli...


Havlík, PetrValin, HugoHerrero, Mario T.Obersteiner, MichaelSchmid, ErwinRufino, Mariana C.Mosnier, AlineThornton, Philip K.Böttcher, HannesConant, Richard T.Frank, S.Fritz, SteffenFuss, S.Kraxner, FlorianNotenbaert, An Maria Omer[Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions]Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions
Godwin, D.C.Thornton, Philip K.Jones, J.W.Singh, U.Jagtap, S.S.Ritchie, J.T.[Using IBSNATs DSST in strategy evaluation]Using IBSNATs DSST in strategy evaluation

The challenges facing agriculture in the coming decades are daunting. Recent research suggests that the impacts of climate change on agriculture and food systems may be wider-ranging than previously understood. Can feasible pathways to a food secure and sustainable future be identified? The scale...


Thornton, Philip K.Dinesh, DhanushCramer, LauraLoboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaCampbell, Bruce M.[Agriculture in a changing climate: Keeping our cool in the face of the hothouse]Agriculture in a changing climate: Keeping our cool in the face of the hothouse

Incremental adaptation may be inadequate to deal with rapid shifts and tipping points for food production under climate change. The concepts of transformative and transformational adaptation have emerged in recent years to address the need for major, non-marginal transitions in sectors, such as a...


Vermeulen, Sonja J.Dinesh, DhanushHowden, S. MarkCramer, LauraThornton, Philip K.[Transformation in Practice: A Review of Empirical Cases of Transformational Adaptation in Agriculture Under Climate Change]Transformation in Practice: A Review of Empirical Cases of Transformational Adaptation in Agriculture Under Climate Change

This Gender Strategy is intended to strengthen CCAFS’ development impact through the integration of gender issues into research in keeping with commitments in the CGIAR Strategy and Results Framework to ensure that rural women benefit from its contribution to poverty reduction, enhanced environme...


Ashby, Jacqueline A.Kristjanson, Patricia M.Thornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.Vermeulen, Sonja J.Wollenberg, Eva K.[CCAFS Gender Strategy]CCAFS Gender Strategy

Projections of climate change are available at coarse scales (70–400 km). But agricultural and species models typically require finer scale climate data to model climate change impacts. Here, we present a global database of future climates developed by applying the delta method –a method for clim...


Navarro-Racines, Carlos EduardoTarapues, JaimeThornton, Philip K.Jarvis, AndyRamírez Villegas, Julián[High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments]High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments

The increase in global consumption of animal source food (ASF) (by more than 40kg/person/year in the last 25 years) has driven livestock production systems in many countries towards intensification. This has significant consequences for land use. Identifying how best to navigate the trade-offs of...


Herrero, Mario T.Mason-D’Croz, DanielGodde, Cécile M.Palmer, JedaThornton, Philip K.Gill, Margaret[Livestock, land and the environmental limits of animal source-food consumption]Livestock, land and the environmental limits of animal source-food consumption

A review of farm household models to analyse food security in a changing climate (van Wijk et al., 2014) suggested that although there are many examples of models, they are often weak in the areas of decision theory and risk analysis. Currently, there are few tools that can comprehensively evalua...


Thornton, Philip K.Aggarwal, Pramod K.Parsons, David[Prioritising climate-smart agricultural interventions at different scales]Prioritising climate-smart agricultural interventions at different scales

This paper offers an overview of how climate change is already affecting farmers across eastern and southern Africa, and how it will continue to affect them in the future. The rising temperatures and increased rainfall variability associated with climate change are undermining the livelihoods and...


Girvetz, Evan H.Ramírez Villegas, JuliánClaessens, LievenLamanna, ChristineNavarro-Racines, CarlosNowak, AndreeaThornton, Philip K.Rosenstock, Todd S.[Future Climate Projections in Africa: Where Are We Headed?]Future Climate Projections in Africa: Where Are We Headed?
Enahoro, Dolapo K.Mason-D’Croz, DanielMul, MarloesRich, Karl M.Robinson, Timothy P.Thornton, Philip K.Staal, Steven J.[Supporting sustainable expansion of livestock production in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa: Scenario analysis of investment options]Supporting sustainable expansion of livestock production in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa: Scenario analysis of investment options

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