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Many types of analysis require rainfall data, which must often be generated to overcome limitations in the historical record. The ability to model outlying rainfall years satisfactorily is particularly important in risk studies. We describe a rainfall generator with this ability, based on a third...


Jones, Peter G.Thornton, Philip K.[Spatial and temporal variability of rainfall related to a third-order Markov model]Spatial and temporal variability of rainfall related to a third-order Markov model

Climate change is projected to have serious impacts on the agriculture of southern Africa, affecting food availability, creating local production shortfalls and resulting in rising commodity prices. This report highlights the risks to agriculture and food systems that may occur in two counties of...


Vergage, FabianCramer, LauraThornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.[Climate risk assessment and agricultural value chain prioritisation for Malawi and Zambia]Climate risk assessment and agricultural value chain prioritisation for Malawi and Zambia

Climate-smart interventions in agriculture have varying costs and environmental and economic impacts. Their implementation requires appropriate investment decisions by policy makers that are relevant for current as well as future scenarios of agro-ecology, climate and economic development. Decisi...


Aggarwal, Pramod K.Thornton, Philip K.Dunnett, AlexShirsath, Paresh B.Joshi, Pramod K.Pal, Barun DKhatri-Chhetri, ArunGhosh, Joydeep[Multi-objective land use allocation modelling for prioritizing climate-smart agricultural interventions]Multi-objective land use allocation modelling for prioritizing climate-smart agricultural interventions

Thornton, Philip K.[Livestock and climate change: Can we steer a path between the devil and the deep blue sea?]Livestock and climate change: Can we steer a path between the devil and the deep blue sea?

Thornton, Philip K.Herrero, Mario T.[The role of mixed crop-livestock farming systems in ensuring food security]The role of mixed crop-livestock farming systems in ensuring food security

Thornton, Philip K.[Experimentation with a beef production model for the savannas of Colombia]Experimentation with a beef production model for the savannas of Colombia

This chapter tackles fundamental issues of research methodology and philosophy of science regarding adaptation policy. Importantly, the authorsdistinguish between research methods and the epistemological and ontological assumptions that underwrite research methodology. First, in terms of methods,...


Purdon, MarkThornton, Philip K.[Research methodology for adaptation policy analysis: embracing the eclectic messy centre]Research methodology for adaptation policy analysis: embracing the eclectic messy centre

Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is widely promoted as an approach for reorienting agricultural development under the realities of climate change. Prioritising research-for-development activities is crucial, given the need to utilise scarce resources as effectively as possible. However, no framewo...


Thornton, Philip K.Whitbread, Anthony M.Baedeker, TobiasCairns, Jill E.Claessens, LievenBaethgen, Walter E.Bunn, ChristianFriedmann, MichaelGiller, Ken E.Herrero, Mario T.Howden, MarkKilcline, KevinNangia, VinayRamírez Villegas, JuliánKumar, ShalanderWest, Paul C.Keating, Brian[A framework for priority-setting in climate smart agriculture research]A framework for priority-setting in climate smart agriculture research

Schuetz, TonyaFörch, WiebkeThornton, Philip K.Wollenberg, L.Hansen, JamesJarvis, AndyCoffey, KevinBonilla Findji, OsanaLoboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaMartínez Barón, DeissyAggarwal, Pramod K.Sebastian, Leocadio S.Zougmoré, Robert B.Kinyangi, JamesVermeulen, Sonja J.Radeny, Maren A.O.Moussa, Abdoulaye S.Sajise, A.Khatri-Chhetri, ArunRichards, MerylJost, ChristineJay, A.[Learning Brief: Lessons in Theory of Change from a Series of Regional Planning Workshops]Learning Brief: Lessons in Theory of Change from a Series of Regional Planning Workshops

Lessons learned from Flagship 4's Results-Based Management trial, based of an extensive survey to the trial project managers, coordinators and partners.


Schuetz, TonyaFörch, WiebkeSchubert, CeciliaThornton, Philip K.Cramer, Laura[Lessons and Insights from CCAFS Results-Based Management Trial]Lessons and Insights from CCAFS Results-Based Management Trial

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