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The livestock sector globally is highly dynamic. In developing countries, it is evolving in response to rapidly increasing demand for livestock products. In developed countries, demand for livestock products is stagnating, while many production systems are increasing their efficiency and environm...


Thornton, Philip K.[Livestock production: recent trends, future prospects]Livestock production: recent trends, future prospects

The recent increased emphasis on impact assessment is due in part to the rapidly changing nature of funding for agricultural research and the shifts that have occurred in what is expected of the agricultural research community. The reasons for doing impact assessment are relatively clear: ex post...


Thornton, Philip K.Kristjanson, Patricia M.Thorne, Peter J.[Measuring the potential impacts of improved food-feed crops: methods for ex ante assessment]Measuring the potential impacts of improved food-feed crops: methods for ex ante assessment

Food security is a key global concern. By 2050, the global population will exceed 9 billion, and a 50% increase in annual agricultural output will be required to keep up with demand. There are significant additional pressures on existing agricultural land through increased competition from the bi...


Fritz, SteffenSee, LindaYou, LiangzhiJustice, ChrisBecker-Reshef, InbalBydekerke, LievenCumani, RenatoDefourny, PierreFoley, JonGilliams, SvenGong, PengHansen, MatthewHertel, Thomas W.Herold, MartinHerrero, Mario T.Kayitakire, FrancoisLatham JLeo OMcCallum, IanObersteiner, MichaelRamankutty NRocha JTang HThornton, Philip K.Vancutsem CVelde, M. van derWood SWoodcock C[The need for improved maps of global cropland]The need for improved maps of global cropland

Agricultural modellers often need detailed soil profile data with which to run their models. We combine an extensive soil profile database with the Harmonized World Soil Database, a 30 arcsecond raster database of soil information worldwide, and describe a statistical process to identify represen...


Jones, Peter G.Thornton, Philip K.[Representative soil profiles for the Harmonized World Soil Database at different spatial resolutions for agricultural modelling applications]Representative soil profiles for the Harmonized World Soil Database at different spatial resolutions for agricultural modelling applications

Ten isolates of Bradyrhizobium spp. which form two colony types were studied; the isolates originated from a range of legume species. The two colony types differed in the amount of gum formed or size or both, depending on the strain. Whole 7-day-old colonies of each type were subcultured to deter...


Sylvester-Bradley, RosemaryThornton, Philip K.Jones, Peter G.[Colony dimorphism in Bradyrhizobium strains]Colony dimorphism in Bradyrhizobium strains

A procedure to link a third-order Markov rainfall model to interpolated monthly mean climate surfaces is described. Such preliminary surfaces have been constructed for Africa and Latin America and these allow a user to generate daily weather data (rainfall, temperatures and solar radiation) that ...


Jones, Peter G.Thornton, Philip K.[Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces]Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces

Drought is a frequent occurrence in the Northwest Province of South Africa, and it appears to be strongly influenced by El Niño-Southern Oscillation events. The South African Weather Services produce long-term seasonal climate forecasts for 3 and 6 mo in advance that could allow crop and livesto...


Thornton, Philip K.Fawcett, R.H.Galvin, K.A.Boone, Randall B.Hudson, J.W.Vogel, C.H.[Evaluating management options that use climate forecasts: Modelling livestock production systems in the semi-arid zone of South Africa]Evaluating management options that use climate forecasts: Modelling livestock production systems in the semi-arid zone of South Africa

Farmers in mixed crop-livestock systems produce about half of the world’s food. In small holdings around the world, livestock are reared mostly on grass, browse, and nonfood biomass from maize, millet, rice, and sorghum crops and in their turn supply manure and traction for future crops. Animals ...


Herrero, Mario T.Thornton, Philip K.Notenbaert, An Maria OmerWood, S.Msangi, SiwaFreeman, H.A.Bossio, Deborah A.Dixon, John A.Peters, MichaelSteeg, Jeannette van deLynam, John K.Rao, P.P.MacMillan, SusanGerard, Bruno G.McDermott, John J.Seré Rabé, CarlosRosegrant, Mark W.[Smart investments in sustainable food production: revisiting mixed crop-livestock systems]Smart investments in sustainable food production: revisiting mixed crop-livestock systems

Lack of accurate maps on the extent of global cropland, and particularly the spatial distribution of major crop types, hampers policy and strategic investment and could potentially impede efforts to improve food security in an environment characterized by continued market volatility and a changin...


See, LindaFritz, SteffenYou, LiangzhiRamankutty, R.Herrero, Mario T.Justice, ChrisBecker-Reshef, InbalThornton, Philip K.Erb, KarlheinzGong, PengTang, H.Velde, M. van derEricksen, Polly J.McCallum, IanKraxner, FlorianObersteiner, Michael[Improved global cropland data as an essential ingredient for food security]Improved global cropland data as an essential ingredient for food security

East African pastoral adaptation and vulnerability to climate variability and climate change is assessed, using data from decision making processes and ecological data of the Maasai of Ngorongoro Conservation Area as an example. The paper uses integrated modeling, linking PHEWS, a household mode...


Galvin, K.A.Thornton, Philip K.Boone, Randall B.Sunderland, J.[Climate variability and impacts on East African livestock herders: The Maasai of Ngorongoro conservation area, Tanzania]Climate variability and impacts on East African livestock herders: The Maasai of Ngorongoro conservation area, Tanzania

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