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Climate change is projected to have serious impacts on the agriculture of southern Africa, affecting food availability, creating local production shortfalls and resulting in rising commodity prices. This report highlights the risks to agriculture and food systems that may occur in two counties of...


Vergage, FabianCramer, LauraThornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.[Climate risk assessment and agricultural value chain prioritisation for Malawi and Zambia]Climate risk assessment and agricultural value chain prioritisation for Malawi and Zambia

Climate-smart interventions in agriculture have varying costs and environmental and economic impacts. Their implementation requires appropriate investment decisions by policy makers that are relevant for current as well as future scenarios of agro-ecology, climate and economic development. Decisi...


Aggarwal, Pramod K.Thornton, Philip K.Dunnett, AlexShirsath, Paresh B.Joshi, Pramod K.Pal, Barun DKhatri-Chhetri, ArunGhosh, Joydeep[Multi-objective land use allocation modelling for prioritizing climate-smart agricultural interventions]Multi-objective land use allocation modelling for prioritizing climate-smart agricultural interventions

Thornton, Philip K.[Livestock and climate change: Can we steer a path between the devil and the deep blue sea?]Livestock and climate change: Can we steer a path between the devil and the deep blue sea?

Thornton, Philip K.Herrero, Mario T.[The role of mixed crop-livestock farming systems in ensuring food security]The role of mixed crop-livestock farming systems in ensuring food security

This chapter tackles fundamental issues of research methodology and philosophy of science regarding adaptation policy. Importantly, the authorsdistinguish between research methods and the epistemological and ontological assumptions that underwrite research methodology. First, in terms of methods,...


Purdon, MarkThornton, Philip K.[Research methodology for adaptation policy analysis: embracing the eclectic messy centre]Research methodology for adaptation policy analysis: embracing the eclectic messy centre

Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is widely promoted as an approach for reorienting agricultural development under the realities of climate change. Prioritising research-for-development activities is crucial, given the need to utilise scarce resources as effectively as possible. However, no framewo...


Thornton, Philip K.Whitbread, Anthony M.Baedeker, TobiasCairns, Jill E.Claessens, LievenBaethgen, Walter E.Bunn, ChristianFriedmann, MichaelGiller, Ken E.Herrero, Mario T.Howden, MarkKilcline, KevinNangia, VinayRamírez Villegas, JuliánKumar, ShalanderWest, Paul C.Keating, Brian[A framework for priority-setting in climate smart agriculture research]A framework for priority-setting in climate smart agriculture research

Many assessments of climate change impacts on global crop yields project declines as early as the 2020s. Losses are projected to increase with time, up to 50% by the 2080s. We carry out a systematic global review and compare published projections of climate change impacts from 34 studies and ∼450...


Aggarwal, Pramod K.Vyas, ShalikaThornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.Kropff, Martin[Importance of considering technology growth in impact assessments of climate change on agriculture]Importance of considering technology growth in impact assessments of climate change on agriculture

This working paper examines the development of regional socioeconomic scenarios for West Africa’s development, agriculture, food security and climate impacts. We present four globally consistent regional scenarios framed and outlined by regional experts who crafted narratives and determined key d...


Palazzo, AmandaRutting, LucasZougmoré, Robert B.Vervoort, Joost M.Havlík, PetrJalloh, AbdulaiAubee, ErnstHelfgott, Ariella E.S.Mason-D'Croz, DanielIslam, ShahnilaEricksen, Polly J.Segda, ZénabouMoussa, Abdoulaye S.Bayala, JulesKadi Kadi, Hame A.Sibiry Traoré, Pierre C.Thornton, Philip K.Valin, Hugo[The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios]The future of food security, environments and livelihoods in Western Africa: Four socio-economic scenarios

En las últimas décadas la seguridad alimentaria y nutricional en América Latina y el Caribe se ha fortalecido, pasando de un 14.7% de población afectada por el hambre en 1990 a un 5.5% en 2014 (FAOSTAT, 2016), cumpliendo con la meta del hambre de los Objetivos de Desarrollo del Milenio. Sin embar...

In recent decades, food and nutrition security in Latin America and the Caribbean has strengthened, decreasing the number of the population affected by hunger from 14.7% in 1990 to 5.5% in 2014 (FAOSTAT, 2016), meeting the hunger goal of the Millennium Development Goals. However, climate change, ...


Cramer, LauraHuyer, SophiaLavado, AngelaLoboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaMartínez Barón, DeissyNyasimi, MaryThomas, Timothy S.Thornton, Philip K.Etten, Jacob vanWijk, Mark T. van[Métodos propuestos para evaluar el impacto potencial del cambio climático sobre la seguridad alimentaria y nutricional en Centroamérica y la República Dominicana]Métodos propuestos para evaluar el impacto potencial del cambio climático sobre la seguridad alimentaria y nutricional en Centroamérica y la República Dominicana

The impacts of climate change on crop yields, as projected by a slew of impact assessments carried out since the 1980s, have brought the issue of future food insecurity to the fore. A meta-analysis of ~27,000 data points from studies published over the last four decades reveals that at country le...


Aggarwal, Pramod K.Vyas, ShalikaThornton, Philip K.Campbell, Bruce M.[How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?]How much does climate change add to the challenge of feeding the planet this century?

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