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Climate change will have far-reaching impacts on crop, livestock and fisheries production, and will change the prevalence of crop pests. Many of these impacts are already measurable. Climate impact studies are dominated by those on crop yields despite the limitations of climate-crop modelling, wi...


Campbell, Bruce M.Vermeulen, Sonja J.Aggarwal, Pramod K.Corner-Dolloff, CaitlinGirvetz, Evan H.Loboguerrero Rodriguez, Ana MaríaRamírez Villegas, JuliánRosenstock, Todd S.Sebastian, Leocadio S.Thornton, Philip K.Wollenberg, Eva K.[Reducing risks to food security from climate change]Reducing risks to food security from climate change

The inability of CERES-Maize v3.0 to simulate a fluctuating water table has been identified as a major constraint in using this particular model in South Africa and in Kenya. Information regarding fluctuating water tables under specific conditions, and their influence on maize production, has bee...


Toit, A.S. duPrinsloo, M.A.Wafula, B.M.Thornton, Philip K.[Incorporating a water-logging routine into CERES-Maize, and some preliminary evaluations]Incorporating a water-logging routine into CERES-Maize, and some preliminary evaluations

Despite the fact that many smallholder farming systems in developing countries revolve around the interactions of crop and livestock enterprises, the modelling of these systems using combinations of detailed crop and livestock models is comparatively underdeveloped. A wide variety of separate cro...


Thornton, Philip K.Herrero, Mario T.[Integrated crop-livestock simulation models for scenario analysis and impact assessment]Integrated crop-livestock simulation models for scenario analysis and impact assessment

Well-tested computer simulation models of the growth, development, and yield of annual crops are being used for a wide range of purposes, including the prediction of impacts of different management practices and land use systems on food production, farmers' profitability, and the environment. Pr...


Thornton, Philip K.Booltink, H.W.G.Stoorvogel, J.J.[A computer program for geostatistical and spatial analysis of crop model outputs]A computer program for geostatistical and spatial analysis of crop model outputs

A procedure to link a third-order Markov rainfall model to interpolated monthly mean climate surfaces is described. Such preliminary surfaces have been constructed for Africa and Latin America and these allow a user to generate daily weather data (rainfall, temperatures and solar radiation) that ...


Jones, Peter G.Thornton, Philip K.[Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces]Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces
Dwivedi, S.L.Siddique, K.H.M.Farooq, M.Thornton, Philip K.Ortiz, R.[Using biotechnology-led approaches to uplift cereal and food legume yields in dryland environments]Using biotechnology-led approaches to uplift cereal and food legume yields in dryland environments

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