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Making decisions in natural resource management involves an understanding of the risk and uncertainty of the outcomes, such as crop failure or cattle starvation, and of the normal spread of the expected production. Hedging against poor outcomes often means lack of investment and slow adoption of ...


Jones, Peter G.Thornton, Philip K.[Spatial modeling of risk in natural resource management]Spatial modeling of risk in natural resource management

The impacts of climate change on agriculture may add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty. We show the possible impacts on maize production in Africa and Latin America to 2055, using high-resolution methods to generate characteristic daily wea...


Jones, Peter G.Thornton, Philip K.[The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055]The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055

There is general consensus that the impacts of climate change on agriculture will add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty, particularly in Africa. While these changes will influence agriculture at a broad scale, regional or country-level asse...


Thornton, Philip K.Jones, Peter G.Alagarswamy, G.Andresen, J.[Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa]Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa

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