This article compares the theoretical and functional specification of production in partial equilibrium (PE) and computable general equilibrium (CGE) models of the global agricultural and food system included in the AgMIP model comparison study. The two model families differ in their scope—partia...
Robinson, Sherman
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Masui T
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Wise, Marshall
,
Calvin, Katherine
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Kavallari, Aikaterini
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Dietrich, Jan Philipp
,
Lampe M. von
,
[Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system]
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Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system
Changes in agricultural land use have important implications for environmental services. Previous studies of agricultural land-use futures have been published indicating large uncertainty due to different model assumptions and methodologies. In this article we present a first comprehensive compar...
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Kyle, Page
,
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Gurgel, Angelo
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Popp, Alexander
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Lampe M. von
,
Wise, Marshall
,
Blanc, Elodie
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Kavallari, Aikaterini
,
Valin, Hugo
,
[Land-use change trajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro-economic model comparison]
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Land-use change trajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro-economic model comparison
Recent studies assessing plausible futures for agricultural markets and global food security have had contradictory outcomes. To advance our understanding of the sources of the differences, 10 global economic models that produce long-term scenarios were asked to compare a reference scenario with ...
Lampe M. von
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Blanc, Elodie
,
Cai, Yongxia
,
Calvin, Katherine
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Schmitz, Christoph
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
[Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison]
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Why do global long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison
We investigate the impacts of the U.S. renewable fuel standard (RFS2) and several alternative biofuel policy designs on global GHG emissions from land use change and agriculture over the 2010-2030 horizon. Analysis of the scenarios relies on GLOBIOM, a global, multi-sectoral economic model based ...
Mosnier, Aline
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Baker, J.
,
Murray, B.
,
Feng, S.
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
McCarl, B.A.
,
Rose, S.K.
,
Schneider, U.A.
,
[Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth]
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Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Havlík, Petr
,
McIntire, John M.
,
Palazzo, Amanda
,
Valin, Hugo
,
[L’avenir de l’élevage africain : Réaliser le potentiel de l’élevage pour la sécurité alimentaire, la réduction de la pauvreté et la protection de l’environnement en Afrique sub- saharienne]
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L’avenir de l’élevage africain : Réaliser le potentiel de l’élevage pour la sécurité alimentaire, la réduction de la pauvreté et la protection de l’environnement en Afrique sub- saharienne
This paper conducts an integrated assessment of climate change impacts and climate mitigation on agricultural commodity markets and food availability in low- and middle-income countries. The analysis uses the partial equilibrium model GLOBIOM to generate scenarios to 2080. The findings show that ...
Havlík, Petr
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Gusti M
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Leclere D
,
Forsell N
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Khabarov, N.
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Cantele M
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
[Climate change impacts and mitigation in the developing world: an integrated assessment of the agriculture and forestry sectors]
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Climate change impacts and mitigation in the developing world: an integrated assessment of the agriculture and forestry sectors
The expansion of biofuel production can lead to an array of negative environmental impacts. Therefore, the European Union (EU) has recently imposed sustainability criteria on biofuel production in the Renewable Energy Directive (RED). In this article, we analyse the effectiveness of the sustainab...
Frank, S.
,
Böttcher, Hannes
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
Elbersen, B.
,
[How effective are the sustainability criteria accompanying the European Union 2020 biofuel targets?]
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How effective are the sustainability criteria accompanying the European Union 2020 biofuel targets?
The livestock sector accounts for 30% of global land area and is a major driver of land use change (Geist and Lambin 2002). Steinfeld et al (2006) calculated that deforestation due to the expansion of pasture and feed crops was responsible for 8% of total anthropogenic Co2 emissions. In addition,...
Havlík, Petr
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Mosnier, Aline
,
Obersteiner, Michael
,
Baker, J.S.
,
Herrero, Mario T.
,
Rufino, Mariana C.
,
Schmid, Erwin
,
[Crop productivity and the global livestock sector: Implications for land use change and greenhouse gas emissions]
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Crop productivity and the global livestock sector: Implications for land use change and greenhouse gas emissions
Understanding the capacity of agricultural systems to feed the world population under climate change requires projecting future food demand. This article reviews demand modeling approaches from 10 global economic models participating in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Proje...
Valin, Hugo
,
Sands, Ronald D.
,
Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
,
Nelson, Gerald C.
,
Ahammad, H.
,
Blanc, Elodie
,
Bodirsky, Benjamin L.
,
Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Paltsev S
,
Rolinski S
,
Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Meijl, Hans van
,
Lampe M. von
,
Willenbockel, Dirk
,
[The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models]
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The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models
The climate change research community’s shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) are a set of alternative global development scenarios focused on mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. To use these scenarios as a global context that is relevant for policy guidance at regional and national le...
Palazzo, Amanda
,
Vervoort, Joost M.
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Rutting, Lucas
,
Havlík, Petr
,
Islam, Shahnila
,
Bayala, Jules
,
Valin, Hugo
,
Kadi Kadi, Hame A.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
[Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context]
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Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context