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We investigate the impacts of the U.S. renewable fuel standard (RFS2) and several alternative biofuel policy designs on global GHG emissions from land use change and agriculture over the 2010-2030 horizon. Analysis of the scenarios relies on GLOBIOM, a global, multi-sectoral economic model based ...


Mosnier, AlineHavlík, PetrValin, HugoBaker, J.Murray, B.Feng, S.Obersteiner, MichaelMcCarl, B.A.Rose, S.K.Schneider, U.A.[Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth]Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth

The expansion of biofuel production can lead to an array of negative environmental impacts. Therefore, the European Union (EU) has recently imposed sustainability criteria on biofuel production in the Renewable Energy Directive (RED). In this article, we analyse the effectiveness of the sustainab...


Frank, S.Böttcher, HannesHavlík, PetrValin, HugoMosnier, AlineObersteiner, MichaelSchmid, ErwinElbersen, B.[How effective are the sustainability criteria accompanying the European Union 2020 biofuel targets?]How effective are the sustainability criteria accompanying the European Union 2020 biofuel targets?

The livestock sector accounts for 30% of global land area and is a major driver of land use change (Geist and Lambin 2002). Steinfeld et al (2006) calculated that deforestation due to the expansion of pasture and feed crops was responsible for 8% of total anthropogenic Co2 emissions. In addition,...


Havlík, PetrValin, HugoMosnier, AlineObersteiner, MichaelBaker, J.S.Herrero, Mario T.Rufino, Mariana C.Schmid, Erwin[Crop productivity and the global livestock sector: Implications for land use change and greenhouse gas emissions]Crop productivity and the global livestock sector: Implications for land use change and greenhouse gas emissions

Understanding the capacity of agricultural systems to feed the world population under climate change requires projecting future food demand. This article reviews demand modeling approaches from 10 global economic models participating in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Proje...


Valin, HugoSands, Ronald D.Mensbrugghe, Dominique van derNelson, Gerald C.Ahammad, H.Blanc, ElodieBodirsky, Benjamin L.Fujimori, ShinichiroHasegawa, TomokoHavlík, PetrHeyhoe, EdwinaKyle, PageMason-D'Croz, DanielPaltsev SRolinski STabeau, AndrzejMeijl, Hans vanLampe M. vonWillenbockel, Dirk[The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models]The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models

The climate change research community’s shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) are a set of alternative global development scenarios focused on mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. To use these scenarios as a global context that is relevant for policy guidance at regional and national le...


Palazzo, AmandaVervoort, Joost M.Mason-D'Croz, DanielRutting, LucasHavlík, PetrIslam, ShahnilaBayala, JulesValin, HugoKadi Kadi, Hame A.Thornton, Philip K.[Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context]Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context

Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation poli...


Havlík, PetrValin, HugoHerrero, Mario T.Obersteiner, MichaelSchmid, ErwinRufino, Mariana C.Mosnier, AlineThornton, Philip K.Böttcher, HannesConant, Richard T.Frank, S.Fritz, SteffenFuss, S.Kraxner, FlorianNotenbaert, An Maria Omer[Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions]Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions

Integrated Assessment studies have shown that meeting ambitious greenhouse gas mitigation targets will require substantial amounts of bioenergy as part of the future energy mix. In the course of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP), five global agro-economic mode...


Lotze-Campen, HermannKyle, PageLampe M. vonHavlík, PetrMeijl, Hans vanHasegawa, TomokoPopp, AlexanderSchmitz, ChristophTabeau, AndrzejValin, HugoWillenbockel, DirkWise, MarshallFujimori, Shinichiro[Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: an AgMIP economic model intercomparison]Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: an AgMIP economic model intercomparison

To keep global warming possibly below 1.5 ᵒC and mitigate adverse effects of climate change, agriculture, like all other sectors, will have to contribute to efforts in achieving net negative emissions by the end of the century. Cost-efficient distribution of mitigation across regions and economic...


Frank, StefanHavlík, PetrSoussana, Jean-FrancoisLevesque, AntoineValin, HugoWollenberg, Eva K.Kleinwechter, U.Fricko, OliverGusti, MykolaHerrero, Mario T.Smith, PeteHasegawa, TomokoKraxner, FlorianObersteiner, Michael[Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture without compromising food security?]Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture without compromising food security?

Agriculture is the single largest source of anthropogenic non-carbon dioxide (non-CO2) emissions. Reaching the climate target of the Paris Agreement will require significant emission reductions across sectors by 2030 and continued efforts thereafter. Here we show that the economic potential of no...


Frank, StefanBeach, Robert H.Havlík, PetrValin, HugoHerrero, Mario T.Mosnier, AlineHasegawa, TomokoCreason, JaredRagnauth, ShaunObersteiner, Michael[Structural change as a key component for agricultural non-CO2 mitigation efforts]Structural change as a key component for agricultural non-CO2 mitigation efforts

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