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Wallach, DanielThorburn, Peter J.Asseng, SentholdChallinor, Andrew J.Ewert, FrankJones, James W.Rotter, Reimund P.Ruane, Alex C.[Estimating model prediction error: Should you treat predictions as fixed or random?]Estimating model prediction error: Should you treat predictions as fixed or random?

The production of tropical agricultural commodities, such as cocoa (Theobroma cacao) and coffee (Coffea spp.), the countries and communities engaged in it, and the industries dependent on these commodities, are vulnerable to climate change. This is especially so where a large percentage of the gl...


Schroth, GötzLäderach, PeterMartínez Valle, Armando IsaacBunn, Christian[From site-level to regional adaptation planning for tropical commodities: cocoa in West Africa]From site-level to regional adaptation planning for tropical commodities: cocoa in West Africa

Climate change has been projected to significantly affect agricultural productivity and hence food availability in the coming decades. The uncertainty associated with projecting climate change impacts is a barrier to agricultural adaptation. Despite uncertainty quantification becoming more promin...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánChallinor, Andrew J.[Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations]Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations

Climate change is one of the main threats to rural livelihoods in Central America, especially for small and medium-sized farmers. Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) integrates biophysical and socioeconomic information to support policy decisions. We present a CCVA of agricultural live...


Bouroncle, ClaudiaImbach, PabloRodríguez Sánchez, BeatrizMedellín, ClaudiaMartínez Valle, Armando IsaacLäderach, Peter[Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies]Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies

Seasonal and inter-annual climate variability have become important issues for farmers, and climate change has been shown to increase them. Simultaneously farmers and agricultural organizations are increasingly collecting observational data about in situ crop performance. Agriculture thus needs n...


Delerce, Sylvain JeanDorado, Hugo AndresGrillon, AlexandreRebolledo, María CamilaPrager, Steven D.Patiño, Victor HugoGarcés Varón, GabrielJiménez, Daniel[Assessing weather-yield relationships in rice at local scale using data mining approaches]Assessing weather-yield relationships in rice at local scale using data mining approaches

Small-scale farmers are highly threatened by climate change. Experts often base their interventions to support farmers to adapt to climate change on their own perception of farmers’ livelihood risks. However, if differences in risk perception between farmers and experts exist, these interventions...


Eitzinger, AntonBinder, Claudia R.Meyer, Markus A.[Risk perception and decision-making: do farmers consider risks from climate change?]Risk perception and decision-making: do farmers consider risks from climate change?

Smallholder farming systems are vulnerable to a number of challenges, including continued population growth, urbanization, income disparities, land degradation, decreasing farm size and productivity, all of which are compounded by uncertainty of climatic patterns. Understanding determinants of sm...


Chen, MinjieWichmann, BrunoLuckert, MartyWinowiecki, Leigh A.Förch, WiebkeLäderach, Peter[Diversification and intensification of agricultural adaptation from global to local scales]Diversification and intensification of agricultural adaptation from global to local scales

The African coffee white stem borer (CWSB) Monochamus leuconotus is a destructive pest of Arabica coffee in Africa. Documentation on outbreaks, spatiotemporal development and the relationship with different environmental conditions and coffee production system is limited. To underpin effective co...


Liebig, Teresa InesBabin, RégisRibeyre, FabienneLäderach, PeterAsten, Piet J.A. vanPoehling, Hans-MichaelJassogne, Laurence T.P.Cilas, ChristianAvelino, Jacques[Local and regional drivers of the African coffee white stem borer (Monochamus leuconotus) in Uganda]Local and regional drivers of the African coffee white stem borer (Monochamus leuconotus) in Uganda

Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is an approach to help agricultural systems worldwide, concurrently addressing three challenge areas: increased adaptation to climate change, mitigation of climate change, and ensuring global food security – through innovative policies, practices, and financing. It...


Torquebiau, Emmanuel F.Rosenzweig, CynthiaChatrchyan, Allison M.Andrieu, NadineKhosla, Raj[Identifying Climate-smart agriculture research needs]Identifying Climate-smart agriculture research needs

Increasing global CO2 emissions have profound consequences for plant biology, not least because of direct influences on carbon gain. However, much remains uncertain regarding how our major crops will respond to a future high CO2 world. Crop model inter-comparison studies have identified large unc...


Fodor, NándorChallinor, Andrew J.Droutsas, IoannisRamírez Villegas, JuliánZabel, FlorianKöhler, Ann-KristinFoyer, Christine H.[Integrating Plant Science and Crop Modeling: Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Soybean and Maize Production]Integrating Plant Science and Crop Modeling: Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Soybean and Maize Production

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