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A software package to generate daily weather data for Latin America and Africa is described. The program is based on a stochastic weather generator that uses a third-order Markov process to model daily weather data. The model has been fitted to data from more than 9200 stations with long runs of ...


Jones, Peter G.Thornton, Philip K.[MarkSim: Software to generate daily weather data for Latin America and Africa]MarkSim: Software to generate daily weather data for Latin America and Africa

This communique is the collective product of 83 participants from over 50 organisations engaged in policy, practice and research across 11 countries in East and Southern Africa. It conveys strong messages from the conference discussions on the need to develop effective approaches to community bas...


CARECGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food SecurityInternational Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology[Achieving Resilience in East and Southern African Drylands]Achieving Resilience in East and Southern African Drylands

Eradicating hunger is a complex and multifaceted challenge, requiring evidence bases that can inform wide scale action, but that are also participatory and grounded to have local relevance and effectiveness. The Rural Household Multi-Indicator Surveys (RHoMIS) provides a broad assessment of house...


Beveridge, LouiseWhitfield, StephenFraval, SimonWijk, Mark T. vanEtten, Jacob vanMercado, LeidaHammond, JamesCortéz, Luz DavilaSuchini, Jose GabrielChallinor, Andrew[Experiences and drivers of food insecurity in Guatemala's dry corridor: insights from the integration of ethnographic and household survey data]Experiences and drivers of food insecurity in Guatemala's dry corridor: insights from the integration of ethnographic and household survey data

In this article the authors assess the potential impacts of projected climate change on water, livelihoods and food security in the Basin Focal Projet basins. The authors consider expected change within the context of recently observed climate variability in the basins to better understand the po...


Mulligan, M.Fisher, M.Sharma, BXu, Z.X.Ringler, ClaudiaMahe, GJarvis, AndyRamírez Villegas, JuliánClanet, J.C.Ogilvie, AAhmad, M.[The nature and impact of climate change in the challenge program on water and food (CPWF) basins]The nature and impact of climate change in the challenge program on water and food (CPWF) basins

This chapter reviews the potential impacts of climate change on on-farm conservation of crop diversity and on the contribution that on-farm conservation can make to agricultural adaptation to climate change, and ask two questions: (1) How might climate change affect the viability of on-farm conse...


Bellon, M.R.Etten, Jacob van[Climate change and on-farm conservation of crop landraces in centres of diversity]Climate change and on-farm conservation of crop landraces in centres of diversity

The Emissions Gap Report 2013 from the United Nations Environment Programme restates the claim that changing to no-till practices in agriculture, as an alternative to conventional tillage, causes an accumulation of organic carbon in soil, thus mitigating climate change through carbon sequestratio...


Powlson, David S.Stirling, Clare M.Jat, Mangi LalGerard, Bruno G.Palm, C.A.Sánchez, P.A.Cassman, Kenneth G.[Limited potential of no-till agriculture for climate change mitigation]Limited potential of no-till agriculture for climate change mitigation

In order for climate forecasting to be used in developing adaptation options, the forecasts should be able to affect decisions made by stakeholders in a manner that improves outcomes. The implications of this requirement for forecasting are presented under five headings: relevance, reliability, s...


Challinor, Andrew J.[Towards the development of adaptation options using climate and crop yield forecasting at seasonal to multi-decadal timescales]Towards the development of adaptation options using climate and crop yield forecasting at seasonal to multi-decadal timescales

Tools for projecting crop productivity under a range of conditions, and assessing adaptation options, are an important part of the endeavour to prioritize investment in adaptation. We present ensemble projections of crop productivity that account for biophysical processes, inherent uncertainty an...


Challinor, Andrew J.Simelton, ElisabethFraser EDGHemming DCollins M[Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China]Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China

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