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In order for climate forecasting to be used in developing adaptation options, the forecasts should be able to affect decisions made by stakeholders in a manner that improves outcomes. The implications of this requirement for forecasting are presented under five headings: relevance, reliability, s...


Challinor, Andrew J.[Towards the development of adaptation options using climate and crop yield forecasting at seasonal to multi-decadal timescales]Towards the development of adaptation options using climate and crop yield forecasting at seasonal to multi-decadal timescales

Tools for projecting crop productivity under a range of conditions, and assessing adaptation options, are an important part of the endeavour to prioritize investment in adaptation. We present ensemble projections of crop productivity that account for biophysical processes, inherent uncertainty an...


Challinor, Andrew J.Simelton, ElisabethFraser EDGHemming DCollins M[Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China]Increased crop failure due to climate change: assessing adaptation options using models and socio-economic data for wheat in China

Cooper, Peter J.M.Coe, R.Stern, RD[Assessing and addressing climate-induced risk in Sub-Saharan rainfed agriculture]Assessing and addressing climate-induced risk in Sub-Saharan rainfed agriculture

Increased use of irrigation and nitrogen (N) in rice and wheat would increase productivity. It would also enhance the emission of greenhouse gases from soil causing global warming and climate change. This study quantified the trade-offs between increased production with N fertilizer and irrigatio...


Bhatia, ArtiPathak, HimanshuAggarwal, Pramod K.Jain, Niveta[Trade-off between productivity enhancement and global warming potential of rice and wheat in India]Trade-off between productivity enhancement and global warming potential of rice and wheat in India

Currently there is no effective mechanism for measuring the potential benefits of integrated pest and disease interventions in terms of reducing pesticide risks in potato production in developing countries. The environmental impact quotient (EIQ), a composite hazard indicator, was applied to data...


Kromann, P.Pradel, W.Cole, D.Taipe, ArturoForbes, G.[Use of the Environmental Impact Quotient to Estimate Health and Environmental Impacts of Pesticide Usage in Peruvian and Ecuadorian Potato Production]Use of the Environmental Impact Quotient to Estimate Health and Environmental Impacts of Pesticide Usage in Peruvian and Ecuadorian Potato Production

Cameroon is committed to reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation plus conservation, sustainable management of forests and enhancement of carbon stocks (REDD+). To achieve this goal, the government has introduced a series of policy reforms and formulated a number of key strate...


Kehbila, A.G.Alemagi, D.Minang, Peter A.[Comparative multicriteria assessment of climate policies and sustainable development strategies in Cameroon: towards a GIS decisionsupport tool for the design of an optimal REDD+ strategy]Comparative multicriteria assessment of climate policies and sustainable development strategies in Cameroon: towards a GIS decisionsupport tool for the design of an optimal REDD+ strategy

Combustion of fuels in the residential sector for cooking and heating results in the emission of aerosol and aerosol precursors impacting air quality, human health, and climate. Residential emissions are dominated by the combustion of solid fuels. We use a global aerosol microphysics model to sim...


Butt, E.W.Rap, A.Schmidt, A.Scott, C.E.Pringle, K.J.Reddington, C.L.Richards, N.A.D.Woodhouse, M.T.Ramírez Villegas, JuliánYang, H.Vakkari, V.Stone, E.A.Rupakheti, M.Praveen, P.S.Zyl, P.G. vanBeukes, J.P.Josipovic, M.Mitchell, E.J.S.Sallu, S.M.Forster, P.M.Spracklen, D.V.[The impact of residential combustion emissions on atmospheric aerosol, human health, and climate]The impact of residential combustion emissions on atmospheric aerosol, human health, and climate

To improve the prediction of crop yields at an aggregate scale, we developed a data assimilation-crop modeling framework that incorporates remotely sensed soil moisture and leaf area index (LAI) into a crop model using sequential data assimilation. The core of the framework is an Ensemble Kalman ...


Ines, Amor V. M.Das, NNHansen, JamesNjoku, EG[Assimilation of remotely sensed soil moisture and vegetation with a crop simulation model for maize yield prediction]Assimilation of remotely sensed soil moisture and vegetation with a crop simulation model for maize yield prediction

Although coffee is a promising cash crop, smallholder farmers that grow coffee are still vulnerable. Soil fertility is declining, pest and disease pressure is increasing, populations are rising, and land is continuously fragmented. Above all, climate change is starting to take its toll and puts f...


Jassogne, Laurence T.P.Asten, Piet J.A. vanLäderach, PeterCraparo, S.Wanyama, I.Nibasumba ABielders, Charles L.[Climate-smart perennial systems]Climate-smart perennial systems

Global warming has been linked to systematic changes in North and South America's climates and may severely impact the North American monsoon system (NAMS) and South American monsoon system (SAMS). This study examines interannual-to-decadal variations and changes in the low-troposphere (850 hPa) ...


Carvalho, Leila M. V.Jones, C.Posadas, A.Quiróz, R.Bookhagen, B.Liebmann, B.[CMIP5 Simulations of low-level tropospheric temperature and moisture over the tropical Americas]CMIP5 Simulations of low-level tropospheric temperature and moisture over the tropical Americas

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