A procedure to link a third-order Markov rainfall model to interpolated monthly mean climate surfaces is described. Such preliminary surfaces have been constructed for Africa and Latin America and these allow a user to generate daily weather data (rainfall, temperatures and solar radiation) that ...
Jones, Peter G.
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Thornton, Philip K.
,
[Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces]
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Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces
Drought is a frequent occurrence in the Northwest Province of South Africa, and it appears to be strongly influenced by El Niño-Southern Oscillation events. The South African Weather Services produce long-term seasonal climate forecasts for 3 and 6 mo in advance that could allow crop and livesto...
Thornton, Philip K.
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Fawcett, R.H.
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Galvin, K.A.
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Boone, Randall B.
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Hudson, J.W.
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Vogel, C.H.
,
[Evaluating management options that use climate forecasts: Modelling livestock production systems in the semi-arid zone of South Africa]
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Evaluating management options that use climate forecasts: Modelling livestock production systems in the semi-arid zone of South Africa
East African pastoral adaptation and vulnerability to climate variability and climate change is assessed, using data from decision making processes and ecological data of the Maasai of Ngorongoro Conservation Area as an example. The paper uses integrated modeling, linking PHEWS, a household mode...
Galvin, K.A.
,
Thornton, Philip K.
,
Boone, Randall B.
,
Sunderland, J.
,
[Climate variability and impacts on East African livestock herders: The Maasai of Ngorongoro conservation area, Tanzania]
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Climate variability and impacts on East African livestock herders: The Maasai of Ngorongoro conservation area, Tanzania
Understanding the capacity of agricultural systems to feed the world population under climate change requires projecting future food demand. This article reviews demand modeling approaches from 10 global economic models participating in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Proje...
Valin, Hugo
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Sands, Ronald D.
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Mensbrugghe, Dominique van der
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Nelson, Gerald C.
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Ahammad, H.
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Blanc, Elodie
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Bodirsky, Benjamin L.
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Fujimori, Shinichiro
,
Hasegawa, Tomoko
,
Havlík, Petr
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Heyhoe, Edwina
,
Kyle, Page
,
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
,
Paltsev S
,
Rolinski S
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Tabeau, Andrzej
,
Meijl, Hans van
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Lampe M. von
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Willenbockel, Dirk
,
[The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models]
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The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models
Cobben, MMP
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Treuren, R. van
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Castañeda-Álvarez, Nora P.
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Khoury, Colin K.
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Kik, C
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Hintum, Theo J.L. van
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[Robustness and accuracy of maxent niche modelling for Lactuca species distributions in light of collecting expeditions]
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Robustness and accuracy of maxent niche modelling for Lactuca species distributions in light of collecting expeditions
As the scientific consensus concerning global climate change has increased in recent decades, research on potential impacts of climate change on water resources has been given high importance. However in Sub-Saharan Africa, few studies have fully evaluated the potential implications of climate ch...
Jin, L.
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Whitehead, P.G.
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Addo, K.A.
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Amisigo, B.
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Macadam, I.
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Janes, T.
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Crossman, J.
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Nicholls, R.J.
,
McCartney, Matthew P.
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Roddai, H.J.E.
,
[Modeling future flows of the Volta River system: impacts of climate change and socio-economic changes]
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Modeling future flows of the Volta River system: impacts of climate change and socio-economic changes
Sandker, Marieke
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Ruiz Perez, Manuel
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Campbell, Bruce M.
,
[Trade-Offs between biodiversity conservation and economic development in five tropical forest landscapes]
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Trade-Offs between biodiversity conservation and economic development in five tropical forest landscapes
Impacts of climate change on water resources, especially groundwater, can no longer be hidden. These impacts are further exacerbated under the integrated influence of climate variability, climate change and anthropogenic activities. The degree of impact varies according to geographical location a...
Aslam, R.A.
,
Shrestha, S.
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Pandey, Vishnu Prasad
,
[Groundwater vulnerability to climate change: a review of the assessment methodology]
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Groundwater vulnerability to climate change: a review of the assessment methodology
Manjella, A.
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Wasike, V.
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Borelli, Teresa
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Hunter, D.
,
[Improving food-system efficiency and environmental conservation using agricultural biodiversity in Busia County: a pilot study]
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Improving food-system efficiency and environmental conservation using agricultural biodiversity in Busia County: a pilot study
Remotely sensed data are often used as proxies for indirect precipitation measures over data-scarce and complex-terrain areas such as the Peruvian Andes. Although this information might be appropriate for some research requirements, the extent at which local sites could be related to such informa...
Posadas, A.
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Duffaut Espinoza, L.A.
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Yarleque, C.
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Carbajal, M.
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Heidinger, Haline
,
Carvalho, L.
,
Jones, C.
,
Quiróz, R.
,
[Spatial random downscaling of rainfall signals in Andean heterogeneous terrain.]
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Spatial random downscaling of rainfall signals in Andean heterogeneous terrain.